NYTimes | The American middle class, long the most affluent in the world, has lost that distinction.
While
the wealthiest Americans are outpacing many of their global peers, a
New York Times analysis shows that across the lower- and middle-income
tiers, citizens of other advanced countries have received considerably
larger raises over the last three decades.
After-tax
middle-class incomes in Canada — substantially behind in 2000 — now
appear to be higher than in the United States. The poor in much of
Europe earn more than poor Americans.
The numbers, based on surveys conducted over the past 35 years, offer some of the most detailed publicly available comparisons
for different income groups in different countries over time. They
suggest that most American families are paying a steep price for high
and rising income inequality.
Although
economic growth in the United States continues to be as strong as in
many other countries, or stronger, a small percentage of American
households is fully benefiting from it. Median income in Canada pulled
into a tie with median United States income in 2010 and has most likely
surpassed it since then. Median incomes in Western European countries
still trail those in the United States, but the gap in several —
including Britain, the Netherlands and Sweden — is much smaller than it
was a decade ago.
In
European countries hit hardest by recent financial crises, such as
Greece and Portugal, incomes have of course fallen sharply in recent
years.
The income data were compiled by LIS,
a group that maintains the Luxembourg Income Study Database. The
numbers were analyzed by researchers at LIS and by The Upshot, a New
York Times website covering policy and politics, and reviewed by outside
academic economists.
The
struggles of the poor in the United States are even starker than those
of the middle class. A family at the 20th percentile of the income
distribution in this country makes significantly less money than a
similar family in Canada, Sweden, Norway, Finland or the Netherlands.
Thirty-five years ago, the reverse was true.
LIS
counts after-tax cash income from salaries, interest and stock
dividends, among other sources, as well as direct government benefits
such as tax credits.
The findings are striking because the most commonly cited economic statistics — such as per capita gross domestic product
— continue to show that the United States has maintained its lead as
the world’s richest large country. But those numbers are averages, which
do not capture the distribution of income. With a big share of recent
income gains in this country flowing to a relatively small slice of
high-earning households, most Americans are not keeping pace with their
counterparts around the world.
“The
idea that the median American has so much more income than the middle
class in all other parts of the world is not true these days,” said Lawrence Katz,
a Harvard economist who is not associated with LIS. “In 1960, we were
massively richer than anyone else. In 1980, we were richer. In the
1990s, we were still richer.”
That is no longer the case, Professor Katz added.
Median
per capita income was $18,700 in the United States in 2010 (which
translates to about $75,000 for a family of four after taxes), up 20
percent since 1980 but virtually unchanged since 2000, after adjusting
for inflation. The same measure, by comparison, rose about 20 percent in
Britain between 2000 and 2010 and 14 percent in the Netherlands. Median
income also rose 20 percent in Canada between 2000 and 2010, to the
equivalent of $18,700.
The
most recent year in the LIS analysis is 2010. But other income surveys,
conducted by government agencies, suggest that since 2010 pay in Canada
has risen faster than pay in the United States and is now most likely
higher. Pay in several European countries has also risen faster since
2010 than it has in the United States.
Three broad factors appear to be driving much of the weak income performance in the United States. First, educational attainment
in the United States has risen far more slowly than in much of the
industrialized world over the last three decades, making it harder for
the American economy to maintain its share of highly skilled,
well-paying jobs.
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