americanprospect | Everything about Crystal’s life
was ordinary, except for her death. She is one of a demographic—white
women who don’t graduate from high school—whose life expectancy has
declined dramatically over the past 18 years. These women can now expect
to die five years earlier than the generation before them. It is an
unheard-of drop for a wealthy country in the age of modern medicine.
Throughout history, technological and scientific innovation have put
death off longer and longer, but the benefits of those advances have not
been shared equally, especially across the race and class divides that
characterize 21st--century America. Lack of access to education, medical
care, good wages, and healthy food isn’t just leaving the worst-off
Americans behind. It’s killing them.
The journal Health Affairs reported the
five-year drop last August. The article’s lead author, Jay Olshansky,
who studies human longevity at the University of Illinois at Chicago,
with a team of researchers looked at death rates for different groups
from 1990 to 2008. White men without high-school diplomas had lost three
years of life expectancy, but it was the decline for women like Crystal
that made the study news. Previous studies had shown that the
least-educated whites began dying younger in the 2000s, but only by
about a year. Olshansky and his colleagues did something the other
studies hadn’t: They isolated high-school dropouts and measured their
outcomes instead of lumping them in with high-school graduates who did
not go to college.
The last time researchers found a change of this magnitude, Russian
men had lost seven years after the fall of the Soviet Union, when they
began drinking more and taking on other risky behaviors. Although women
generally outlive men in the U.S., such a large decline in the average
age of death, from almost 79 to a little more than 73, suggests that an
increasing number of women are dying in their twenties, thirties, and
forties. “We actually don’t know the exact reasons why it’s happened,”
Olshansky says. “I wish we did.”
Most Americans, including high-school dropouts of other races, are
gaining life expectancy, just at different speeds. Absent a war,
genocide, pandemic, or massive governmental collapse, drops in life
expectancy are rare. “If you look at the history of longevity in the
United States, there have been no dramatic negative or positive shocks,”
Olshansky says. “With the exception of the 1918 influenza pandemic,
everything has been relatively steady, slow changes. This is a five-year
drop in an 18-year time period. That’s dramatic.”
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