theatlantic | The president’s disruption engine is
powered by three paradoxes. Each was made possible by technological
innovations. All will endure long after this ringmaster moves his circus
to another town.
Paradox #1: More information, less credibility
Trump’s
cries about fake news get receptive audiences in part because we live
in the most complex information age in human history. The volume of data
is exploding, and yet credible information is harder to find. The scale
of this information universe is staggering. In 2010, Eric Schmidt, the
chairman of Google’s parent company Alphabet, noted that every two days,
we create as much information as we did from the dawn of civilization
up to 2003. Today Google processes 61,000 search queries a second.
That’s 5.2 billion queries a day.
Meanwhile, attitudes toward traditional information sources like the
mainstream media and universities are souring, particularly among
Republicans. Confidence in newspapers has declined by more than 20 points since 1977. Last month, a Pew survey found that for the first time, a majority of Republicans had a negative view of American universities.
Paradox #2: More connectivity, less civility
Today nearly half the world is online. By 2020 more people are expected to have cell phones than running water.
But civility has not accelerated in tandem. In earlier times, it took
some effort to deliver hurtful messages. In the U.K.’s Parliament
building, seating in the House of Commons is designed to space the
opposition at least two sword lengths apart from the ruling party—just
in case. Distance has its benefits.
Paradox #3: The wisdom of crowds, the duplicity of crowds
Technology
has unleashed the wisdom of crowds. Now you can find an app harnessing
the experiences and ratings of likeminded users for just about anything.
The best taco truck in Los Angeles? Yelp. The highest rated puppy
crate? Amazon. Youth hostels in Barcelona? TripAdvisor. Researchers are
even using the wisdom of crowds
to better predict which internet users may have pancreatic cancer and
not even know it yet—based on the search histories of other cancer
patients.
But the 2016 presidential election revealed that not all
crowds are wise, or even real. The wisdom of crowds can be transformed
into the duplicity of crowds. Deception is going viral.
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