NYTimes | Keynes would, I think, have been sardonically amused to learn how little
has changed in the past three generations. Public spending to fight
unemployment is still anathema; miners are still spoiling the landscape
to add to idle hoards of gold. (Keynes dubbed the gold standard a “barbarous relic.”)
Bitcoin just adds to the joke. Gold, after all, has at least some real
uses, e.g., to fill cavities; but now we’re burning up resources to
create “virtual gold” that consists of nothing but strings of digits.
I suspect, however, that Adam Smith would have been dismayed.
Smith is often treated as a conservative patron saint, and he did indeed
make the original case for free markets. It’s less often mentioned,
however, that he also argued strongly for bank regulation — and that he
offered a classic paean to the virtues of paper currency. Money, he
understood, was a way to facilitate commerce, not a source of national
prosperity — and paper money, he argued, allowed commerce to proceed
without tying up much of a nation’s wealth in a “dead stock” of silver and gold.
So why are we tearing up the highlands of Papua New Guinea to add to our
dead stock of gold and, even more bizarrely, running powerful computers
24/7 to add to a dead stock of digits?
Talk to gold bugs and they’ll tell you that paper money comes from
governments, which can’t be trusted not to debase their currencies. The
odd thing, however, is that for all the talk of currency debasement,
such debasement is getting very hard to find. It’s not just that after
years of dire warnings about runaway inflation, inflation in advanced
countries is clearly too low, not too high. Even if you take a global
perspective, episodes of really high inflation have become rare. Still,
hyperinflation hype springs eternal.
Bitcoin seems to derive its appeal from more or less the same sources,
plus the added sense that it’s high-tech and algorithmic, so it must be
the wave of the future.
But don’t let the fancy trappings fool you: What’s really happening is a
determined march to the days when money meant stuff you could jingle in
your purse. In tropics and tundra alike, we are for some reason digging
our way back to the 17th century.
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