tomdispatch | Let’s say you live in a country where the government responded
quickly and competently to Covid-19. Let’s say that your government
established a reliable testing, contact tracing, and quarantine system.
It either closed down the economy for a painful but short period or its
system of testing was so good that it didn’t even need to shut
everything down. Right now, your life is returning to some semblance of
normal.
Lucky you.
The rest of us live in the United States. Or Brazil. Or Russia. Or
India. In these countries, the governments have proven incapable of
fulfilling the most important function of the state: protecting the
lives of their citizens. While most of Europe and much of East Asia have
suppressed the pandemic sufficiently to restart their economies,
Covid-19 continues to rage out of control in those parts of the world
that, not coincidentally, are also headed by democratically elected
right-wing autocrats.
In these incompetently run countries, citizens have very good reason
to mistrust their governments. In the United States, for instance, the
Trump administration botched testing, failed to coordinate lockdowns, removed oversight from the bailouts, and pushed to reopen the economy over the objections
of public-health experts. In the latest sign of early-onset dementia
for the Trump administration, White House Press Secretary Kayleigh
McEnany declared this month that “science should not stand in the way” of reopening schools in the fall.
Voters, of course, could boot Trump out in November and, assuming he
actually leaves the White House, restore some measure of sanity to
public affairs. But the pandemic is contributing to an already
overwhelming erosion of confidence in national institutions. Even before
the virus struck, in its 2018 Trust Barometer the public relations firm
Edelman registered an unprecedented drop in public trust connected
to... what else?... the election of Trump. “The collapse of trust in the
U.S. is driven by a staggering lack of faith in government, which fell
14 points to 33% among the general population,” the report noted. “The remaining institutions of business, media, and NGOs also experienced declines of 10 to 20 points.”
And you won’t be surprised to learn that the situation hadn’t shown signs of improvement by 2020, with American citizens even more mistrustful of their country’s institutions than their counterparts in Brazil, Italy, and India.
That institutional loss of faith reflects a longer-term trend. According to Gallup’s latest survey,
only 11% of Americans now trust Congress, 23% big business and
newspapers, 24% the criminal justice system, 29% the public school
system, 36% the medical system, and 38% the presidency. The only
institution a significant majority of Americans trust -- and consider
this an irony, given America’s endless twenty-first-century wars -- is
the military (73%). The truly scary part is that those numbers have held
steady, with minor variations, for the last decade across two very
different administrations.
How low does a country’s trust index have to go before it ceases
being a country? Commentators have already spent a decade discussing the
polarization of the American electorate. Much ink has been spilled over the impact of social media in creating political echo chambers. It’s been 25 years since political scientist Robert Putnam observed that Americans were “bowling alone” (that is, no longer participating in group activities or community affairs in the way previous generations did).
The coronavirus has generally proven a major force multiplier of such
trends by making spontaneous meetings of unlike-minded people ever less
likely. I suspect I’m typical. I’m giving a wide berth to pedestrians,
bicyclists, and other joggers when I go out for my runs. I’m not
visiting cafes. I’m not talking to people in line at the supermarket.
Sure, I’m on Zoom a lot, but it’s almost always with people I already
know and agree with.
Under these circumstances, how will we overcome the enormous gaps of
perception now evident in this country to achieve anything like the
deeper basic understandings that a nation-state requires? Or will
Americans lose faith entirely in elections, newspaper stories,
hospitals, and public transportation, and so cease being a citizenry
altogether?
Trust is the fuel that makes such institutions run. And it looks as
though we passed Peak Trust long ago and may be on a Covid-19 sled
heading downhill fast.
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