pnas | Here we show that the spatial prevalence of human societies that believe
in moralizing high gods can be predicted with a high
level of accuracy (91%) from historical,
social, and ecological data. Using high-resolution datasets, we
systematically estimate
the relative effects of resource
abundance, ecological risk, cultural diffusion, shared ancestry, and
political complexity
on the global distribution of beliefs in
moralizing high gods. The methods presented in this paper provide a
blueprint for
how to leverage the increasing wealth of
ecological, linguistic, and historical data to understand the forces
that have shaped
the behavior of our own species.
Although ecological forces are known to shape the expression of
sociality across a broad range of biological taxa, their role
in shaping human behavior is currently
disputed. Both comparative and experimental evidence indicate that
beliefs in moralizing
high gods promote cooperation among
humans, a behavioral attribute known to correlate with environmental
harshness in nonhuman
animals. Here we combine fine-grained
bioclimatic data with the latest statistical tools from ecology and the
social sciences
to evaluate the potential effects of
environmental forces, language history, and culture on the global
distribution of belief
in moralizing high gods (n = 583
societies). After simultaneously accounting for potential
nonindependence among societies because of shared ancestry
and cultural diffusion, we find that these
beliefs are more prevalent among societies that inhabit poorer
environments and
are more prone to ecological duress. In
addition, we find that these beliefs are more likely in politically
complex societies
that recognize rights to movable property.
Overall, our multimodel inference approach predicts the global
distribution of
beliefs in moralizing high gods with an
accuracy of 91%, and estimates the relative importance of different
potential mechanisms
by which this spatial pattern may have
arisen. The emerging picture is neither one of pure cultural
transmission nor of simple
ecological determinism, but rather a
complex mixture of social, cultural, and environmental influences. Our
methods and findings
provide a blueprint for how the increasing
wealth of ecological, linguistic, and historical data can be leveraged
to understand
the forces that have shaped the behavior
of our own species.
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