guardian | Economic growth is an artefact of the use of fossil fuels. Before
large amounts of coal were extracted, every upswing in industrial
production would be met with a downswing in agricultural production, as
the charcoal or horse power required by industry reduced the land
available for growing food. Every prior industrial revolution collapsed,
as growth could not be sustained. But coal broke this cycle and enabled
– for a few hundred years – the phenomenon we now call sustained
growth.
It was neither capitalism nor communism that made possible
the progress and pathologies (total war, the unprecedented
concentration of global wealth, planetary destruction) of the modern
age. It was coal, followed by oil and gas. The meta-trend, the mother
narrative, is carbon-fuelled expansion. Our ideologies are mere
subplots. Now, with the accessible reserves exhausted, we must ransack
the hidden corners of the planet to sustain our impossible proposition.
On Friday, a few days after scientists announced that the collapse of the west Antarctic ice sheet is now inevitable, the Ecuadorean government decided to allow oil drilling in the heart of the Yasuni national park.
It had made an offer to other governments: if they gave it half the
value of the oil in that part of the park, it would leave the stuff in
the ground. You could see this as either blackmail or fair trade.
Ecuador is poor, its oil deposits are rich. Why, the government argued,
should it leave them untouched without compensation when everyone else
is drilling down to the inner circle of hell? It asked for $3.6bn and
received $13m. The result is that Petroamazonas, a company with a colourful record of destruction and spills,
will now enter one of the most biodiverse places on the planet, in
which a hectare of rainforest is said to contain more species than exist in the entire continent of North America.
The UK oil firm Soco is now hoping to penetrate Africa's oldest national park, Virunga,
in the Democratic Republic of Congo; one of the last strongholds of the
mountain gorilla and the okapi, of chimpanzees and forest elephants. In
Britain, where a possible 4.4 billion barrels of shale oil has just been identified in the south-east, the government fantasises about turning the leafy suburbs into a new Niger delta. To this end it's changing the trespass laws to enable drilling without consent and offering lavish bribes to local people. These new reserves solve nothing. They do not end our hunger for resources; they exacerbate it.
The
trajectory of compound growth shows that the scouring of the planet has
only just begun. As the volume of the global economy expands,
everywhere that contains something concentrated, unusual, precious, will
be sought out and exploited, its resources extracted and dispersed, the
world's diverse and differentiated marvels reduced to the same grey
stubble.
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