Counterpunch | Joe: I think you know that the NATO you are talking about was formed
in 1949, four years after the German defeat (at the hands basically, as
you know, of the Red Army), as a U.S.-led anti-Soviet military alliance.
It was part of the Truman Doctrine, which legitimated all efforts to
contain the communist “enemy” whether by military force (the suppression
of the Greek communist partisans who had heroically resisted the
fascists), by rigged elections (in France and Italy in 1946-48), by
espionage, political assassinations, disinformation campaigns and
military alliances.
I assume you know this history anyway. It might have been taught at
Pensacola Catholic High School in the late seventies, or at the
University of Alabama in the early 1980s, or you might have learned it
during your law school years in Florida or during your brief tenure in
Congress.
Anyway (as you know), when NATO expanded in 1956 to include the
U.S.-occupied West Germany, Moscow responded—you might say, somewhat
belatedly—by creating the Warsaw Pact. There were then 15 members of
NATO (Spain joined in 1982). But the Warsaw Pact included only 8 nations
at its height. Its forces were deployed precisely once during its
existence, in Czechoslovakia in 1968 to suppress the Prague Spring
movement. Albania had already been expelled from the pact, and Romania
in this instance refused to participate. (Indeed Bucharest denounced the
Soviet-led intervention in Czechoslovakia and sought closer relations
with both the U.S. and China in its aftermath.)
The Soviets were less interested in “dividing” NATO than in
preserving control over their own cordon sanitaire in “eastern”
Europe—their control over the sphere they had conquered while destroying
the Wehrmacht in 1944-45. (Moscow was no doubt pleased when Charles De
Gaulle pulled France out of NATO’s military structure in 1966, but that
was clearly the French president’s decision based on French
nationalism.) The Soviets of course hoped for allies win in contested
elections and to be appointed to high office in western Europe (although
as you know, Joe, Truman forbade allies from allowing communists into
their cabinets). Of course the Soviets were interested in dividing
NATO—not to invade the NATO countries, but rather to defend themselves.
This remains Russia’s objective.
As the Berlin Wall fell in 1988 Soviet leader Mikhail Gorbachev
agreed to the expansion of NATO to include East Germany, as it was
reunited with the West; in return he demanded a commitment from George
H. W. Bush that the alliance would not advance “one inch” towards the
east. You know very well that James Baker averred this publicly in
Moscow.
And as you know, Joe, the U.S. has broken this promise since 1999
when Poland, Czechoslovakia, and Hungary (the core of the Warsaw Pact
dissolved in 1991 along with the Soviet Union) joined NATO. And then in
2004 George W. Bush (who had looked into Putin’s eyes and seen his soul,
and welcomed his help after 9/11) further broke it when he expanded the
alliance to include Bulgaria, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Romania,
Slovakia and Slovenia. And then in 2009 with Albania and Croatia, and
Montenegro last year (so Trump could join in on the process). Look at a
map and see how NATO’s expanded and ask what would you think if you were
watching from Moscow.
The anti-Russian NATO military alliance numbering 16 nations in 1991
now numbers 28, including four that border Russia. It is not your
daddy’s NATO. It’s foolish of you talk about Moscow now using “Soviet
strategy.” What do you mean by that? Do you know yourself? Make a
specific comparison; I challenge you.
Joe, if you do not see why the Russian state (and people) would view
this expanding alliance with anxiety you really are ignorant of history.
The Russians are at once aware that they, not the NATO countries, have
more often been the victims of aggression in the past, and they have no
intentions of invading Europe. The Warsaw Pact has been gone 26 years.
And Russians know better perhaps than people in this country how NATO
has been used since the USSR collapsed. And how U.S. governments and
mass media whip up fears among the people of this country that often
become pretexts for aggression.
How has NATO ever been deployed? Never during the Cold War; it was
not necessary. It was first used in Bosnia in 1994-5, then in Serbia
1999, then Afghanistan, 2001-present, then Libya in that disgraceful war
crime in 2011. As for Russia wanting to divide NATO—well of course! RT
reports positively on the rise of Eurosceptics and nationalists in NATO
member states; the fact is, there is a lot of anti-NATO sentiment in
Europe, especially in some eastern European countries. The anti-Russian
sanctions the EU has adopted under U.S. pressure (exercised largely
through the Brexiting UK) following the Kiev events and Russia’s
re-annexation of Crimea, are not popular among European farmers and
manufacturers. There are internal tensions in NATO that may weaken it.
The Russians can try to exploit and exacerbate the contradictions but
they can’t create them.
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