Guardian | The prospect of Donald Trump
winning the race to the White House has joined China’s slowing economy,
the Greek debt crisis and Britain’s EU referendum as a major threat to
the global economy, according to a respected risk analysis firm.
The Economist Intelligence Unit said the Republican frontrunner could
prove a dangerous world leader, damaging global trade, stirring up
trouble with Beijing and adding to instability in the Middle East.
The EIU placed the possibility of Trump being sworn in as US president next January sixth on their latest list of global threats, as serious as a resurgence of jihadi terrorism, and only marginally less risky than the collapse of the eurozone.
The US property tycoon had been “exceptionally hostile towards free trade” during his campaign, and had advocated putting troops on the ground in Syria to fight Islamic State, the unit said.
“In the event of a Trump victory, his hostile attitude to free trade, and alienation of Mexico and China
in particular, could escalate rapidly into a trade war – and at the
least scupper the Trans-Pacific Partnership between the US and 11 other
American and Asian states signed in February 2016.”
It added: “His militaristic tendencies towards the Middle East [and
ban on all Muslim travel to the US] would be a potent recruitment tool
for jihadi groups, increasing their threat both within the region and
beyond.”
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