zerohedge | Doing the “right thing” is usually political suicide for politicians. Cutting
expenditure to pay its bills to pay down the debt will make the economy
implode. Instead, the government in power continues its daily
activities and promotes new social programs to promote reelection.
Almost half of the spending done by the US government goes to
entitlements (Medicare, Medicaid, social security). If any cuts are
carried out in this sector, you can expect riots on the street
(approximately 28% of the US population are baby boomers and 80% of investments and laws are carried out by this powerful demographic.) Cuts to entitlements are highly unlikely!
The continuous debate on raising the
debt ceiling is all about a government mismanaging its money and not
being able to control it–much like a child with no discipline. Since
debt is being mismanaged, it has caused many distortions in the markets,
and yet the debt is allowed to grow because of the US Congress. The
debt ceiling has been increased 10 times since 2001. If
the debt ceiling were actually a ceiling, the market and debt
distortions would have imploded the economy–an implosion necessary for
the economy to restore its equilibrium and liquidate all inefficiencies.
“Too big too fail” is absolute nonsense.
Paying back investors, costly wars,
entitlements and bailing out the “financial terrorists” (who caused the
crisis) all add to the national debt and to the dysfunctional economy
that continues to operate until its debt will cease to grow. The problem
with this system is that it created significantly more credit (someone
is the creditor to all the debt) than “cash” money (money in your
wallet). Every time debt expands, the credit supply also expands. (Read Fractional Reserve Lending on how money is created.)
According to the FED,
the Total Credit Market Debt Owed (TCMDO) is approximately 53$ trillion
and 2.4$ trillion in the true money supply (M1). In other words, cash
money is approximately 4.5% of credit (TCMDO/M1).
The result to our economy is that
“boom” periods are hardly driven by cash money, as cash money is
insignificant in relation to credit. Credit is what drives the
markets, and it is this same credit that “busts” the markets as well, in
times of credit contraction. In order for debt to expand, someone must
be lending the US this money. At the moment, the lenders are China,
Japan, and the OPEC countries.
But why do they continue to buy this debt?
Because they have too.
The US Dollar is the reserve currency
of the world. You need it to buy oil, a vital component of any economy.
Since other countries like China cannot print US dollars at their
leisure, they have to get it from somewhere. They get it from trade with
the US. The US buys products in Asia and the rest of the world with US
dollars, and in turn these same dollar surpluses are used to buy oil and
US bonds, creating a much needed artificial demand for US dollars.
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