WaPo | You remember the photo, taken in early August, of two men at an Ohio Trump rally whose matching T-shirts
read, “I’d rather be a Russian than a Democrat.” (Now you can buy them
online for $14.) It was a gibe that spoke to our moment. The Republican
brand — as with presidential nominees John McCain and Mitt Romney — used
to be pointedly anti-Russian; Romney called Moscow our chief global enemy. In the Trump era, though, you can be a Republican Russophile
for whom Vladimir Putin is a defender of conservative values. American
politics, it has become plain, is driven less by ideological
commitments than by partisan identities — less by what we think than by
what we are. Identity precedes ideology.
“The
Democratic Party today is divided over whether it wants to focus on the
economy or identity,” the veteran strategist and pollster Stanley B.
Greenberg, a man of the economy-first school, has said. But once you come to grips with the potency of partisan-identity
politics, the binary falls away. So does the assumption that the great
majority of Republicans who support Trump are drawn to his noxious
views. (That’s the good news in the bad news.) Among candidates who led
in the Republican primaries, after all, his percentage of the vote was the lowest
in nearly half a century. Identity groups come to rally behind their
leaders, and partisan identification wouldn’t be so stable if it didn’t
allow for a great deal of ideological flexibility. That’s why
rank-and-file Republicans could go from “We need to stand up to Putin!”
to “Why wouldn’t we want to get along with Putin?” in the time it takes to say: Rubio’s out, Trump’s in.
What’s true of partisan allegiance is true of ideological allegiance. In research
published earlier this year, political scientist Lilliana Mason
conducted a national survey that determined where people stood on
various hot-button issues: same-sex marriage, abortion, gun control,
immigration, the Affordable Care Act, the deficit. Then they were asked
how they felt about spending time with liberals or conservatives. About
becoming friends with one. About marrying one.
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