voxeu | Divisions in the US go well beyond the income arena, and in ways that
are particularly worrisome. In a new book, I document trends in
inequality from the perspective of well-being, starting with standard
metrics but also exploring how these relate to non-economic aspects of
welfare, such as happiness, stress, anger, and, most importantly, hope
(Graham 2017).
Hope is an important channel driving people’s willingness to invest
in the future. My early research on well-being work highlights its
particular importance for people with less means, for whom making such
investments requires a greater sacrifice of current consumption than it
does for the rich (Graham et al. 2004). In addition to widening gaps in
opportunity, the prosperity gap in the US has led to rising inequality
in beliefs, hopes, and aspirations, with those who are left behind
economically the least hopeful and the least likely to invest in their
futures.
There are, indeed, two Americas. Those at the top of the income
distribution (including the top of the middle class) increasingly lead
separate lives, with barriers to reaching the upper class being very
real, if not explicit (Reeves 2017). Those at the top have high levels
of hope for the future and make investments in themselves and in their
children’s health, education, and knowledge more generally. Those at the
bottom have much lower levels of hope and they tend to live day by day,
consumed with daily struggles, high levels of stress, and poor health.
There are many markers of the differences across these two Americas,
ranging from education levels and job quality to marriage and
incarceration rates to life expectancy. Indeed, the starkest evidence of
this lack of faith in the future is the marked increase in premature
deaths – driven largely but not only by an increase in preventable
deaths (such as via suicide and drug over-dose) among middle-aged
uneducated whites, as described by Case and Deaton (2017).
There are even differences in the words that these two Americas use.
Common words in wealthy America reflect investments in health, knowledge
acquisition, and the future: iPads and Baby Bjorns, foam rollers and
baby joggers, cameras, and exotic travel destinations such as Machu
Picchu. The words that are common in poor America – such as hell,
stress, diabetes, guns, video games, and fad diets – reflect short-time
horizons, struggles, and lack of hope (Leonhardt 2015).
Based on detailed Gallup data, we find stark differences across
people, races, and places in the US. Remarkably, poor minorities – and
blacks in particular – are much more hopeful than poor whites. Poor
blacks are three times as likely to be a point higher on the ten-point
optimism scale than are poor whites, while Hispanics are about one and a
half times more likely than poor whites. Poor blacks are also half as
likely to experience stress – a significant marker of ill-being – on a
daily basis as are poor whites, while poor Hispanics are about
two-thirds as likely.
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