newyorker | If this place has
done its job—and I suspect it has—you’re all scientists now. Sorry,
English and history graduates, even you are, too. Science is not a major
or a career. It is a commitment to a systematic way of thinking, an
allegiance to a way of building knowledge and explaining the universe
through testing and factual observation. The thing is, that isn’t a
normal way of thinking. It is unnatural and counterintuitive. It has to
be learned. Scientific explanation stands in contrast to the wisdom of
divinity and experience and common sense. Common sense once told us that
the sun moves across the sky and that being out in the cold produced
colds. But a scientific mind recognized that these intuitions were only
hypotheses. They had to be tested.
When
I came to college from my Ohio home town, the most intellectually
unnerving thing I discovered was how wrong many of my assumptions were
about how the world works—whether the natural or the human-made world. I
looked to my professors and fellow-students to supply my replacement
ideas. Then I returned home with some of those ideas and told my parents
everything they’d got wrong (which they just loved). But, even then, I
was just replacing one set of received beliefs for another. It took me a
long time to recognize the particular mind-set that scientists have.
The great physicist Edwin Hubble, speaking at Caltech’s commencement in
1938, said a scientist has “a healthy skepticism, suspended judgement,
and disciplined imagination”—not only about other people’s ideas but
also about his or her own. The scientist has an experimental mind, not a
litigious one.
As a student, this
seemed to me more than a way of thinking. It was a way of being—a weird
way of being. You are supposed to have skepticism and imagination, but
not too much. You are supposed to suspend judgment, yet exercise it.
Ultimately, you hope to observe the world with an open mind, gathering
facts and testing your predictions and expectations against them. Then
you make up your mind and either affirm or reject the ideas at hand. But
you also hope to accept that nothing is ever completely settled, that
all knowledge is just probable knowledge. A contradictory piece of
evidence can always emerge. Hubble said it best when he said, “The
scientist explains the world by successive approximations.”
The
scientific orientation has proved immensely powerful. It has allowed us
to nearly double our lifespan during the past century, to increase our
global abundance, and to deepen our understanding of the nature of the
universe. Yet scientific knowledge is not necessarily trusted. Partly,
that’s because it is incomplete. But even where the knowledge provided
by science is overwhelming, people often resist it—sometimes outright
deny it. Many people continue to believe, for instance, despite massive
evidence to the contrary, that childhood vaccines cause autism (they do
not); that people are safer owning a gun (they are not); that
genetically modified crops are harmful (on balance, they have been
beneficial); that climate change is not happening (it is).
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