Datasciencecentral Having found a dataset on Ebola cases, thought of checking it out quickly what the statistics really look like.
Tuesday, October 14, 2014
Ebola's progression in Africa
By Dale Asberry at October 14, 2014 12 comments
Labels: Great Filters
lucy in the sky with diamonds....,
By CNu at October 14, 2014 0 comments
Labels: microcosmos , Possibilities
Monday, October 13, 2014
something strange happens to civilizations, strange in a bad way...,
By CNu at October 13, 2014 15 comments
Labels: Great Filters , What Now?
why dispersal may be our only option...,
By CNu at October 13, 2014 0 comments
Labels: Great Filters , weather report
Sunday, October 12, 2014
species final exams: dmitri orlov offers a prudent and scalable ebola mitigation strategy
Beyond that, there are the basic mechanics of handling the pandemic. The current strategy treats it as a medical problem, best handled by doctors and nurses working in hospitals and clinics. This strategy only works for as long as the epidemic can be said to be under control; once it can be said to be out of control, the surviving doctors and nurses (medics are usually the first to be exposed—and to die) would be well advised to specifically refuse to handle Ebola patients.
In absence of any curative or preventive therapies, Ebola patients need shelter, hydration, hygiene, palliative care and, if and when they die, sanitary disposal of the remains. The goal is to do what is possible to give patients a chance to recover more or less on their own. To this end, it is very important to do all the things necessary to make sure that people are dying just from Ebola, and not from exposure, dehydration, or from any of the opportunistic diseases that thrive in disrupted circumstances, such as cholera and typhus. Sanitation is the most important aspect of the entire operation.
These services need not be provided by trained medics. The main two requirements for such service are: 1. psychological immunity to scenes of horrific suffering and death; and 2. immunity to Ebola. The first of these requirements comes down to natural talent; some have it, some don't. The second requirement is being provided free of charge by the Ebola virus itself, in cooperation with the survivors' immune systems.
English lacks a good word to describe this type of specialist, but we don't have to reach far to find one: the Russian word for it is “sanitar.” A popular Russian saying goes “wolves are sanitars of the forest” because they take care of disposing of the sick, the weak and the lame, thus giving those that survive a better chance. A sanitar need not be medically trained, but some training is needed: in diagnosis, palliative care, sanitation procedures and corpse disposal.
A third requirement is one that applies to the sanitation service as a whole: the number of sanitars has to scale with the rate of infection. Since the number of those infected is increasing exponentially, the number of sanitars assigned to serve them has to be able to increase exponentially as well. It seems outlandish to think that sufficient numbers of people will spontaneously volunteer for the job, and this means that they have to be press-ganged into service. And a super-obvious way to do just that is to simply never discharge Ebola survivors: once you are in, you are in until the pandemic is over, or until you die, whichever comes first. If you recover, you are given a bit of training, and then you go to work.
If you don't like the mitigation strategy I am proposing, please feel free to propose your own. Keep in mind, however, that what you propose has to automatically scale with the increase in the rate of infection, which is exponential. Sure, you can propose setting a public health budget, but then it has to double every couple of weeks—and keep doubling until the number of patients is in the billions.
By CNu at October 12, 2014 1 comments
Labels: as above-so below , visitors? , What Now?
Saturday, October 11, 2014
elforsk ain't hesitate to interrogate (it gets cold in sweden and putin ackin a fool)...,
By CNu at October 11, 2014 2 comments
Labels: hustle-hard , scientific morality , What IT DO Shawty...
h8ters cain't wait to h8te...,
Yet another version of the E-Cat2 has been tested. This time the tests have been performed in Lugano3.
By CNu at October 11, 2014 0 comments
Labels: Possibilities , scientific mystery
nothing would please me more than for the boy to face the future close to home...,
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Veneziano, Diego (University of Missouri, 2013-07)
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18th International Conference on Condensed Matter; International Conference on Condensed Matter Nuclear Science (18th : 2013 : Columbia, Mo.) (University of Missouri, 2013-07)
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By CNu at October 11, 2014 0 comments
Labels: Possibilities , scientific mystery , What Now?
Friday, October 10, 2014
last night my son shifted his focus from chemical and petroleum engineering to physical chemistry and nuclear engineering...,
By CNu at October 10, 2014 12 comments
Labels: Possibilities
low energy nuclear reactions coming into view?
By CNu at October 10, 2014 2 comments
Labels: as above-so below , evolution , institutional deconstruction , Possibilities
straight loving the way this cat thinks yo!
By CNu at October 10, 2014 0 comments
Labels: banksterism
topological quantum computing
By CNu at October 10, 2014 0 comments
Labels: as above-so below , Possibilities , quantum , tactical evolution
Thursday, October 09, 2014
speaking of contact-tracing: how is it that the government can read your emails but not count overseer-inflicted casualties?
By CNu at October 09, 2014 0 comments
Labels: governance , Rule of Law
cdc recommends hermetically-sealed fema coffins for ebola victims - and has stockpiled them for this contingency...,
By CNu at October 09, 2014 0 comments
Labels: banksterism , Collapse Crime , domestic terrorism , Livestock Management
why ARE so many deadly viral diseases breaking out all over the world right now?
A nurse's assistant in Spain is the first person known to have contracted Ebola outside of Africa in the current outbreak.
Spanish Health Minister Ana Mato announced Monday that a test confirmed the assistant has the virus.The woman helped treat a Spanish missionary and a Spanish priest, both of whom had contracted Ebola in West Africa. Both died after returning to Spain.Health officials said she developed symptoms on September 30. She was not hospitalized until this week. Her only symptom was a fever.
By CNu at October 09, 2014 0 comments
Labels: political theatre , scientific mystery , the wattles
Wednesday, October 08, 2014
aaaawwwwwww snap! if this overseer's hot, shit's about to get unbelievably real....,
- Dallas County Sheriff Deputy Michael Monnig went to an urgent care clinic in Frisco, Texas with his wife on Wednesday A witness at the clinic described him as 'hunched over and flushed'
- The deputy was inside the apartment where Ebola patient Thomas Duncan fell ill - the officer wasn't wearing protective clothing
- The CDC said the person is not one of the 48 contacts being monitored
- The CareNow clinic was placed in lock-down Liberian national Mr Duncan, 42, died from Ebola on Wednesday morning
- Sgt Monnig's family said today the CDC had told them that their loved one was not at risk and they were just taking precautions
By CNu at October 08, 2014 3 comments
Labels: cull-tech , niggerization , Possibilities , What Now?
spanish flu in 1918 brought back by returning WW-I troops killed 1 million americans...,
- QUESTION: Will they be in contact with individuals or just specimens?
- RODRIGUEZ: They come in contact with the individuals.
KIRBY: Afternoon, everybody. I'm proud to welcome into the briefing room General David Rodriguez, commander of Africa Command. He's here to give you an update on U.S. contributions to the effort against Ebola -- U.S. military contributions to the effort against Ebola in West Africa. And with that, sir, I'll turn it over to you.QUESTION: Just a clarification on that, please. Will they be in contact with individuals or just specimens?GENERAL DAVID M. RODRIGUEZ (USA), COMMANDER, U.S. AFRICA COMMAND: They come in contact with the individuals and they do that. And they're -- like I said, it's a -- it's a very, very high standard that these people have operated in all their lives, and this is their primary skill. This is not a -- you know, just medical guys trained to do this. This is what they do for a living.
By CNu at October 08, 2014 3 comments
Labels: cull-tech , unintended consequences
open mic fail after cdc ebola press conference...,
Where are they, and what can they handle?
Emory University's Serious Communicable Disease Unit is in Atlanta, GA. That's where Brantly and Writebol were treated. It has three beds.
St. Patrick Hospital's ICU Isolation Unit is in Missoula MT. It has three beds.
The National Institute of Health's Special Clinical Studies Unit is in Bethesda MD. It has seven beds.
And the biggest, the Nebraska Medical Center's Biocontainment Unit is in Omaha NE. It has ten beds.
3+3+7+10=23 beds, coast to coast.
So, for the entire country, all 316,100,000+ of us, we're fully prepared to treat 23 Ebola patients at the same time. (For reference, that's how many Ebola patients Liberia had last April. It hasn't gone well.)
But the 316M-person question is, what happens when we have 24?
More happygas, anyone?
"But any major medical center could really take care of an Ebola patient," said William Schaffner, an expert on infectious diseases at Vanderbilt University's School of Medicine.
Most ICUs have isolation rooms that are used for patients suspected to have tuberculosis, SARS, Middle East respiratory syndrome or another infectious disease. Schaffner said that not much would be different for an Ebola patient, though more stringent precautions might be taken to ensure that health care workers are following all protocols.
Why yes, gosh darn it, of course they can!
Just look at how well that worked at Texas Health Presbyterian, a top-tier 968-bed acute primary hospital in Dallas, and a regional healthcare keystone in that city.
They misdiagnosed their first patient.
Their computerized EMR doesn't dump the nurse's triage notes onto the doctor's page, so critical screening information was missed.
They exposed their hospital lab to specimens that weren't safe to handle, because they didn't know Thomas Duncan needed a BL4 response and specimen handling.
They exposed doctors, nurses, staff members, patients, and visitors to Ebola unknowningly.
Which led to inappropriate hazmat cleaning at his home;
the potential exposure of four public schools to the disease, which has necessitated closing them for cleaning while parents keep their children home, some withdrawing them completely;
and on and on, with 18/100/50 (depending on which number is currently operant) people under self-imposed quarantine and monitoring.
And that was a good look at how it's going to go everywhere else, the first time "shit's getting real". It's called the Normalcy Bias. "We've never had an Ebola patient walk in the door, so we never will, and we won't assume otherwise." Because ABCNNBCBS haven't been hawking any news to the contrary for months, right?
There are other problems: as noted yesterday, once you start traipsing highly infectious patients, frequently vomiting and squirting Ebola-laced body fluids everywhere, the hospital is unavailable for any other use.
By CNu at October 08, 2014 0 comments
Labels: The Hardline , truth
rule of law: reexamining residency requirements for overseers
By CNu at October 08, 2014 0 comments
Labels: American Original , just-us , Rule of Law
perverse u.s. drug policies promote the justus growth industry
- The U.S. has more deaths from drug overdoses than from car accidents.
- Most are due to prescription narcotics, not street drugs.
- Heroin deaths have also doubled in the past two years because patients first hooked on prescription narcotics often have to switch to cheaper street drugs.
- States that have legalized medical marijuana have many fewer prescription narcotic overdoses than those that haven't.
- Prescription narcotics are gateway drugs creating a new demographic of drug addiction -- older, whiter, suburban, and more female.
- The Sackler family is famous and widely admired for its museum philanthropy; but is also infamous and deserves to be widely despised for its irresponsible drug pushing. Their drug company has been fined more than600 million for its criminal marketing of narcotics. Its pills cause more overdoses than any drug cartel.
- Careless, sometimes criminal, MDs serve the same role for drug companies as corner pushers serve for drug cartels. Just one doctor in California was responsible for 400 emergency room visits.
By CNu at October 08, 2014 0 comments
Labels: just-us , Rule of Law , What IT DO Shawty...
Tuesday, October 07, 2014
charles ellison again: why the military and not medicine to ebola stricken africa?
By CNu at October 07, 2014 5 comments
Labels: cull-tech , Living Memory , not a good look , Race and Ethnicity , The Hardline
charles ellison putting in yoeman's work..., ebola-race-class
I
By CNu at October 07, 2014 0 comments
Labels: cull-tech , Race and Ethnicity , The Hardline
Fuck Robert Kagan And Would He Please Now Just Go Quietly Burn In Hell?
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