Can you imagine what would happen if, through Russian diplomacy, that India and China were reconciled to each other and then went into partnership that would include at its core China, Russia, India and Iran with a whole bunch of ‘stans tossed in for good measure? Just in terms of population and resources alone it would leave us in the west in the dust and I am sure that Africa and South America would be interested in signing trade treaties with such an organization. For the fourth partner Iran and China sign 25-year cooperation agreement
For all we know, it may just happen and sooner than we think.
The Russia-India-China grouping will be seeing more activity since the 18th meeting of Russia-India-China (RIC) Foreign Ministers last November during which the chairmanship passed to China.
The creation of the RIC is attributed to Primakov: The man who created multipolarity
“Yevgeni Primakov drafted the concept of a Russia, India, China strategic triangle as a counterbalance to the western alliance.”
In my assessment, the next phase of Putin’s and Xi’s confrontation with Biden is now moving to the Putin-Modi-Xi relationship.
Examining an Asia-Middle East map, you see that with geography, BRI and bi-lateral agreements, China along with Russia have placed India in an agricultural and industrial resources cauldron.
I believe Modi’s escape from this cauldron starts with repeating with China the border adjustment effort that China made with Russia two decades ago resulting in a mutually secure border.
I believe Xi is ready to accommodate Modi for their mutual interest in military and food security for their respective 1.4Billions of people.
Biden's puppeteers have made their third mistake:
Mistake 1: refusal to address Russia’s legitimate security concerns forcing Putin to initiate a Preventive War (Just War Theory) against Ukraine and by extension NATO.
Mistake 2: seizure of Russia’s Central Bank assets bringing into question (1) what is money; and (2) what is the US dollar.
Mistake 3: threatening China to take the US side against Russia.
In the next months the CCP will be conducting a number of important events culminating with the re-confirmation of Xi as President.
If Xi accedes to Biden’s threats, China will start down the slippery slope of vassalization to the US. Its stored wheat will be given to MENA, US troops will occupy Taiwan, etc etc. Another century of humiliation.
Time to pull out the map.
China has a militarily-secure, economically-transparent 2,600 mile border with Russia.
Together with Russia via the CSTO, SCO, etc, China has moderately stable borders with Central Asia.
Its border with India and southern Asia is becoming uncomfortable as Himalayan water is affected by rapid climate change and dam building. But this issue can be (and must be) resolved with multi-national agreements. India must step forward to initiate this process by asking for border resolution negotiations similar to China with Russia two decades ago. China’s door is open.
To the east are South Korea and Taiwan. Intel and others produce the sapphires, rubies, etc of semiconductors but Samsung and TSMC produce the diamonds.
Seoul is within artillery range of North Korea and Taipei is within cruise missile range of China.
I believe Xi must make increasingly explicit gestures supporting Putin’s Preventive War.
Perhaps starting with an airlift of medical supplies. Then next an airlift of medical personnel with field hospitals. And continuing to military items.
At some point Biden's puppeteers will make their fourth mistake.
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