cluborlov | Once upon a time—and a fairly long time it was—most of the thickly
settled parts of the world had something called feudalism. It was a way
of organizing society hierarchically. Typically, at the very top there
was a sovereign (king, prince, emperor, pharaoh, along with some high
priests). Below the sovereign were several ranks of noblemen, with
hereditary titles. Below the noblemen were commoners, who likewise
inherited their stations in life, be it by being bound to a piece of
land upon which they toiled, or by being granted the right to engage in a
certain type of production or trade, in case of craftsmen and
merchants. Everybody was locked into position through permanent
relationships of allegiance, tribute and customary duties: tribute and
customary duties flowed up through the ranks, while favors, privileges
and protection flowed down.
It was a remarkably resilient, self-perpetuating
system, based largely on the use of land and other renewable resources,
all ultimately powered by sunlight. Wealth was primarily derived from
land and the various uses of land. Here is a simplified org chart
showing the pecking order of a medieval society.
Feudalism was essentially a steady-state system. Population pressures
were relieved primarily through emigration, war, pestilence and, failing
all of the above, periodic famine. Wars of conquest sometimes opened up
temporary new venues for economic growth, but since land and sunlight
are finite, this amounted to a zero-sum game.
But all of that changed when feudalism was replaced with capitalism.
What made the change possible was the exploitation of nonrenewable
resources, the most important of which was energy from burning
fossilized hydrocarbons: first peat and coal, then oil and natural gas.
Suddenly, productive capacity was decoupled from the availability of
land and sunlight, and could be ramped up almost, but not quite, ad
infinitum, simply by burning more hydrocarbons. Energy use, industry and
population all started going up exponentially. A new system of economic
relations was brought into being, based on money that could be
generated at will, in the form of debt, which could be repaid with
interest using the products of ever-increasing future production.
Compared with the previous, steady-state system, the change amounted to a
new assumption: that the future will always be bigger and richer—rich
enough to afford to pay back both principal and interest.
nbcnews | The co-pilot of the crashed
Germanwings plane appears to have "intentionally" brought the plane down
while his captain was locked out of the cockpit and banging to be let
back in, prosecutors said Thursday.
German Chancellor Angela
Merkel said the revelations added a "new, simply incomprehensible
dimension" to the tragedy, adding that "something like this goes beyond
anything we can imagine."
First Officer Andreas
Lubitz, 27, was alone at the controls of the Airbus A320 as it began its
rapid descent, Marseille Prosecutor Brice Robin told a news conference.
Passengers' cries were
heard on the plane's cockpit voice recorder in the moments just before
the plane slammed into the French Alps, Brice said.
"Banging" sounds also
were audible, he said, suggesting the captain was trying to force his
way back into the cockpit. However, the reinforced cockpit door was
locked from the inside and could not be overridden, even with a coded
entry panel.
"If he had been able to open this door, the captain would have done it," Brice said.
Lubitz, a German
national from the town of Montabaur, "didn't say a word" during the
descent, according to Brice, who said no distress signal or radio call
was made.
"There was no reason to
put the plane into a descent, nor to not respond to… air traffic
controllers," he said. "Was it suicide? I'm not using the word, I don't
know. Given the information I have at this time … I can tell you that he
deliberately made possible the loss of altitude of the aircraft."
commondreams | The bold headline of a recent Los Angeles Times editorial
by the hydrologist Jay Famiglietti starkly warned: “California has
about one year of water left. Will you ration now?” The write-up quickly
made the social media rounds, prompting both panic and the usual blame
game: It’s because of the meat eaters or the vegan almond-milk drinkers or the bottled-water guzzlers or the Southern California lawn soakers.
California’s water loss
has been terrifying. But people everywhere should be scared, not just
Californians, because this story goes far beyond state lines. It is a
story of global climate change and industrial agriculture. It is also a
saga that began many decades ago—with the early water wars of the 1930s
immortalized in the 1974 Roman Polanski film “Chinatown.”
When my family first moved to the Los Angeles area, we spent years
adjusting our lifestyle to be more in line with our values. Ten years
ago, we stopped watering our lawn and eventually replaced the lawn with
plants that were drought-tolerant or native to California. Three years
ago, we installed solar panels on our roofs. Last year, we diverted our
laundry runoff to our vegetable garden and fruit trees through a
graywater system. We have replaced all our toilets with dual-flush
systems to take advantage of local rebates, and we practice responsible flushing.
We almost never wash our cars, and we shower less often in the winter.
We are investigating rainwater barrels in our latest effort to be
responsible stewards of our water. Yet none of our efforts to be an
example to others have done anything other than make us feel morally
self-righteous enough to wag our fingers at water wasters.
California’s water resources are being mismanaged, according to Janet
Redman, director of the Climate Policy Program at the Institute for
Policy Studies, a progressive think tank. “The management of water from
California’s historic aquifer and snow and rivers and lakes doesn’t
match the use right now,” Redman told me in an interview on my show, “Uprising.” It’s a big understatement.
Even though Gov. Jerry Brown just imposed a series of mandatory water-conservation measures
in response to the emergency, most of those measures are aimed at
individual users and restaurants. While it is crucial for residents to
stop wasting water on the utterly useless tasks of car washing and lawn
watering, “residential use in California is about 4 percent,” Redman
told me. “Eighty percent is for agriculture.”
The truth is that California’s Central Valley, which is where the
vast majority of the state’s farming businesses are located, is a
desert. That desert is irrigated with enough precious water to
artificially sustain the growing of one-third of the nation’s fruits and vegetables, a $40 billion industry.
LATimes | Right now the state has only about one year of water supply left in its
reservoirs, and our strategic backup supply, groundwater, is rapidly
disappearing. California has no contingency plan for a persistent
drought like this one (let alone a 20-plus-year mega-drought), except,
apparently, staying in emergency mode and praying for rain.
In short, we have no paddle to navigate this crisis.
Several
steps need be taken right now. First, immediate mandatory water
rationing should be authorized across all of the state's water sectors,
from domestic and municipal through agricultural and industrial. The
Metropolitan Water District of Southern California is already
considering water rationing by the summer unless conditions improve.
There is no need for the rest of the state to hesitate. The public is
ready. A recent Field Poll showed that 94% of Californians surveyed
believe that the drought is serious, and that one-third support
mandatory rationing.
Second, the implementation of the Sustainable
Groundwater Management Act of 2014 should be accelerated. The law
requires the formation of numerous, regional groundwater sustainability
agencies by 2017. Then each agency must adopt a plan by 2022 and
“achieve sustainability” 20 years after that. At that pace, it will be
nearly 30 years before we even know what is working. By then, there may
be no groundwater left to sustain.
Third, the state needs a task force of thought leaders that starts,
right now, brainstorming to lay the groundwork for long-term water
management strategies. Although several state task forces have been
formed in response to the drought, none is focused on solving the
long-term needs of a drought-prone, perennially water-stressed
California.
Our state's water management is complex, but the
technology and expertise exist to handle this harrowing future. It will
require major changes in policy and infrastructure that could take
decades to identify and act upon. Today, not tomorrow, is the time to
begin.
Finally,
the public must take ownership of this issue. This crisis belongs to
all of us — not just to a handful of decision-makers. Water is our most
important, commonly owned resource, but the public remains detached from
discussions and decisions.
shtf | The water crisis in California is reaching epic proportions.
And it’s going to cost everyone, big time.
After a sustained drought, NASA has reported that the state has less than one year of water reserves remaining, with no back up plan if things go wrong.
Now, there is so much demand for water in Southern Californian
cities, that many farmers are opting to sell their water rights to urban
dwellers – not just at a premium, but at an unbelievable and
unprecedented rate.
CBS News
profiled some rice farmers with historic rights to the Yuba River who
are being offered so much for water, they have decided to forego
planting their crops altogether and sell the new “cash crop” – liquid
gold. Fist tap Big Don.
RawStory | Magic mushrooms (psilocbye cubensis) can provoke hallucinations, spiritual insights, and serious hilarity, but just what do they do to your brain?
They’re illegal under federal law–a Schedule I controlled substance, like heroin, LSD, and marijuana–but scientists say they can have thereapeutic uses for people suffering from disorders such as PTSD and depression. And a widely-cited 2010 British study found magic mushrooms to be the least dangerous of any of the 20 drugs evaluated, both for users and for society at large.
Those science sleuths at ASAPScience have a nifty little three-minute animated video that explains just what psilocybin, the active ingredient in ‘shrooms, does in and to your brain as your mind melts. The science is firm and the viewpoint is balanced–they don’t shy away from the possibility of unhappy experiences–but in the end they come out for loosening up the laws in light of what we know now.
Oilprice.com | Oil companies continue to get burned by low oil prices, but the pain is bleeding over into the financial industry. Major banks are suffering huge losses from both directly backing some struggling oil companies, but also from buying high-yield debt that is now going sour.
The Wall Street Journal reported that tens of millions of dollars have gone up in smoke on loans made to the energy industry by Citigroup, Goldman Sachs, and UBS. Loans issued to oil and gas companies have looked increasingly unappetizing, making it difficult for the banks to sell them on the market.
To make matters worse, much of the credit issued by the big banks have been tied to oil field services firms, rather than drillers themselves – companies that provide equipment, housing, well completions, trucks, and much more. These companies sprung up during the boom, but they are the first to feel the pain when drilling activity cuts back. With those firms running out of cash to pay back lenders, Wall Street is having a lot of trouble getting rid of its pile of bad loans.
Robert Cohen, a loan-portfolio manager at DoubleLine Capital, told the Wall Street Journal that he declined to purchase energy loans from Citibank. “We’ve been pretty shy about dipping back into the energy names,” he said. “We’re taking a wait-and-see attitude.”
But some big investors jumped back into the high-yield debt markets in February as it appeared that oil prices stabilized and were even rebounding. However, since March 4 when oil prices began to fall again, an estimated $7 billion in high-yield debt from distressed energy companies was wiped out, according to Bloomberg.
The high-yield debt market is being overrun by the energy industry. High-yield energy debt has swelled from just $65.6 billion in 2007 up to $201 billion today. That is a result of shaky drillers turning to debt markets more and more to stay afloat, as well as once-stable companies getting downgraded into junk territory. Yields on junk energy debt have hit 7.44 percent over government bonds, more than double the rate from June 2014.
NYTimes | The president’s harsh words
have been deemed by some to be patronizing and disrespectful not only
to Mr. Netanyahu but also to the voters who rewarded his uncompromising
stances with a resounding mandate for a fourth term.
Several
Israeli analysts said the administration’s criticism of Mr. Netanyahu
seemed like a pretext for a longstanding plan to change the United
States’ policy of protecting Israel
in international forums, which the administration has said it will
reassess. Others suspect a ploy to undermine Israel’s lobbying efforts
against the American negotiations for a nuclear accord with Iran.
The rift widened further on Tuesday with a Wall Street Journal report
in which administration officials accused Israeli officials of spying
on the closed-door negotiations with Iran and sharing secret details
about them with Congress and journalists. Three top Israeli ministers
vehemently denied the report. Several congressional Republicans said
they had received no such information, and those in Mr. Netanyahu’s
close circle said it seemed like more poisoning of dirty waters.
“Sometimes
you have these unfortunate patterns that occur when you have tensions
in the relationship,” said Dore Gold, a former Israeli ambassador to the
United Nations. “Stories based on anonymous sources pop up, and their
purpose seems to be to undermine the alliance between the two
countries.”
In contrast with the White House, leading Israeli voices seem to have accepted Mr. Netanyahu’s post-election clarification that current circumstances make it impossible to imagine meeting his longstanding conditions for supporting a Palestinian state. While Israel’s Arab politicians rejected Mr. Netanyahu’s apology
on Monday for an election-day video in which he warned about Arab
citizens’ descending in “droves” to the polls, several of his most
virulent Jewish critics praised it.
sputniknews | Eagle Resolve will involve tactical exercises from the US Army,
Marines, and various other military branches to test readiness in air
defense, border security, counterterrorism, as well as "consequence
management." These include amphibious landing exercises and ship-based
search and seizure operations.
Officials insist that the exercise has been in the planning stages
for the last 14 months, and has nothing to do with the Iranian nuclear
negotiations.
"The exercise is not intended as a signal to Iran," a CENTCOM
official said, according to the Free Beacon. "If there’s any message
at all, it’s that all participants have a common interest in regional
security."
"It’s important to point out that this is a recurring exercise,
with planning for this year’s exercise beginning over a year ago," the
official added. "The focus of the exercise is on bolstering capabilities
useful in a wide range of scenarios to help preserve and bolster
regional security, with simulated portions of the exercise based on a
fictional adversary."
Still, it’s hard to ignore which nation that “fictional adversary”
may be in reference to. On Saturday, former CIA Director General David
Petraeus called Iran the greatest long-term threat to stability in the
region.
"I
would argue that the foremost threat to Iraq’s long-term stability and
the broader regional equilibrium is not the Islamic State; rather, it is
Shiite militias, many backed by – and some guided by – Iran," he told
the Washington Post.
It’s a view echoed by many US lawmakers and military officials. Given
that the deadline for a framework deal on the controversial nuclear
negotiations is fast approaching, it’s hard to ignore the potential
message of a large-scale military exercise.
NYTimes | The
safe space, Ms. Byron explained, was intended to give people who might
find comments “troubling” or “triggering,” a place to recuperate. The
room was equipped with cookies, coloring books, bubbles, Play-Doh,
calming music, pillows, blankets and a video of frolicking puppies, as
well as students and staff members trained to deal with trauma. Emma
Hall, a junior, rape survivor and “sexual assault peer educator” who
helped set up the room and worked in it during the debate, estimates
that a couple of dozen people used it. At one point she went to the
lecture hall — it was packed — but after a while, she had to return to
the safe space. “I was feeling bombarded by a lot of viewpoints that
really go against my dearly and closely held beliefs,” Ms. Hall said.
Safe
spaces are an expression of the conviction, increasingly prevalent
among college students, that their schools should keep them from being
“bombarded” by discomfiting or distressing viewpoints. Think of the safe
space as the live-action version of the better-known trigger warning, a
notice put on top of a syllabus or an assigned reading to alert
students to the presence of potentially disturbing material.
Some
people trace safe spaces back to the feminist consciousness-raising
groups of the 1960s and 1970s, others to the gay and lesbian movement of
the early 1990s. In most cases, safe spaces are innocuous gatherings of
like-minded people who agree to refrain from ridicule, criticism or
what they term microaggressions — subtle displays of racial or sexual
bias — so that everyone can relax enough to explore the nuances of, say,
a fluid gender identity. As long as all parties consent to such
restrictions, these little islands of self-restraint seem like a
perfectly fine idea.
But
the notion that ticklish conversations must be scrubbed clean of
controversy has a way of leaking out and spreading. Once you designate
some spaces as safe, you imply that the rest are unsafe. It follows that
they should be made safer.
This logic clearly informed a campaign undertaken this fall by a Columbia University
student group called Everyone Allied Against Homophobia that consisted
of slipping a flier under the door of every dorm room on campus. The
headline of the flier stated, “I want this space to be a safer space.”
The text below instructed students to tape the fliers to their windows.
The group’s vice president then had the flier published in the Columbia
Daily Spectator, the student newspaper, along with an editorial
asserting that “making spaces safer is about learning how to be kind to
each other.”
A
junior named Adam Shapiro decided he didn’t want his room to be a safer
space. He printed up his own flier calling it a dangerous space and had
that, too, published in the Columbia Daily Spectator. “Kindness alone
won’t allow us to gain more insight into truth,” he wrote. In an
interview, Mr. Shapiro said, “If the point of a safe space is therapy
for people who feel victimized by traumatization, that sounds like a
great mission.” But a safe-space mentality has begun infiltrating
classrooms, he said, making both professors and students loath to say
anything that might hurt someone’s feelings. “I don’t see how you can
have a therapeutic space that’s also an intellectual space,” he said.
consortiumnews | But don’t think that this unlocking of the U.S. taxpayers’ wallets is
just about this one couple. There will be plenty of money to be made by
other neocon think-tankers all around Washington, including Frederick
Kagan, who works for the right-wing American Enterprise Institute, and
his wife, Kimberly, who runs her own think tank, the Institute for the
Study of War [ISW].
According to ISW’s annual reports, its original supporters were mostly
right-wing foundations, such as the Smith-Richardson Foundation and the
Lynde and Harry Bradley Foundation, but it was later backed by a host
of national security contractors, including major ones like General
Dynamics, Northrop Grumman and CACI, as well as lesser-known firms such
as DynCorp International, which provided training for Afghan police,
and Palantir, a technology company founded with the backing of the
CIA’s venture-capital arm, In-Q-Tel. Palantir supplied software to U.S.
military intelligence in Afghanistan.
Since its founding in 2007, ISW has focused mostly on wars in the
Middle East, especially Iraq and Afghanistan, including closely
cooperating with Gen. David Petraeus when he commanded U.S. forces in
those countries. However, more recently, ISW has begun reporting
extensively on the civil war in Ukraine. [See Consortiumnews.com’s
“Neocons Guided Petraeus on Afghan War.”]
In other words, the Family Kagan has almost a self-perpetuating,
circular business model – working the inside-corridors of government
power to stimulate wars while simultaneously influencing the public
debate through think-tank reports and op-ed columns in favor of more
military spending – and then collecting grants and other funding from
thankful military contractors.
To be fair, the Nuland-Kagan mom-and-pop shop is really only a
microcosm of how the Military-Industrial Complex has worked for
decades: think-tank analysts generate the reasons for military
spending, the government bureaucrats implement the necessary war
policies, and the military contractors make lots of money before
kicking back some to the think tanks — so the bloody but profitable
cycle can spin again.
The only thing that makes the Nuland-Kagan operation special perhaps is that the whole process is all in the family.
fp | The nuclear mess in Parks could hold clues to yet another mystery in
this Pennsylvania community, one that has bedeviled nuclear analysts for
decades. Beginning in the early 1960s, investigators from the Atomic
Energy Commission (AEC), the agency that regulated U.S. nuclear
facilities at the time, began to question how large amounts of highly
enriched, weapons-grade uranium had gone missing from NUMEC. Any nuclear
site had a certain amount of loss, from seepage into walls and floors,
for instance. In fact, between 1952 and 1968, lax standards at 20 of the
country’s commercial nuclear sites resulted in an apparent loss of 995
kilograms (2,194 pounds) of uranium-235. But investigators found that at
NUMEC, hundreds of pounds went missing, more than at any other plant.
NUMEC’s founder, Zalman Shapiro, an accomplished American
chemist, addressed the concern in 1978, telling Arizona Congressman
Morris Udall that the uranium simply escaped through the facility’s air
ducts, cement, and wastewater. Others, such as the late Glenn Seaborg,
the AEC’s chairman in the 1960s—who had previously helped discover
plutonium and made key contributions to the Manhattan Project—have
suggested that the sloppy accounting and government regulations of the
mid-20th century meant that keeping track of losses in America’s newborn
nuclear industry was well near impossible. Today, some people in Apollo
think that at least a portion of the uranium might be buried in Parks,
contaminating the earth and, ultimately, human beings.
But a number of nuclear experts and intelligence officials propose
another theory straight out of an espionage thriller: that the uranium
was diverted—stolen by spies working for the Mossad, Israel’s
intelligence agency. In the 1960s, to secure nuclear technology and
materials, Israel mounted covert operations around the world, including
at least one alleged open-ocean transfer of hundreds of pounds of
uranium. Some experts have also raised questions about Shapiro himself.
He had contacts deep within Israel’s defense and intelligence
establishments when he ran NUMEC; several of them even turned up at his
facility over time and concealed their professional identities while
there.
Fifty years after investigations began—they have involved, at
various times, the AEC and its successors, Congress, the FBI, the CIA,
and other government agencies—NUMEC remains one of the most confounding
puzzles of the nuclear era. “It is one of the most interesting and
important Cold War mysteries out there,” said Steven Aftergood, who
directs the Project on Government Secrecy at the Federation of American
Scientists. “Mainly as a story of clandestine nuclear proliferation,
intelligence, security bungling, and the limits of intelligence.” The
questions about Shapiro, meanwhile, linger: Is he a great American
innovator, a traitor, or both? (Shapiro, now 94, has never been charged
with a crime or convicted of one, and he has steadfastly proclaimed his
innocence.)
Answers could emerge, once and for all, during the upcoming
cleanup in Parks. Residents of this corner of Armstrong County,
Pennsylvania, could finally be told that the missing uranium has been
beneath and around them all along—that large amounts of dangerous and
volatile radioactive waste have been festering in the soil for more than
half a century. Or they could learn that the material was indeed at the
center of international intrigue. Either way, the small town of Apollo
may long for boring anonymity.
theatlantic | Here's something else Obama said in that interview last year: "I
have not yet heard ... a persuasive vision of how Israel survives as a
democracy and a Jewish state at peace with its neighbors in the absence
of a peace deal with the Palestinians and a two-state solution. Nobody
has presented me a credible scenario."
He went on, "The only thing that I’ve heard is,
'We’ll just keep on doing what we’re doing, and deal with problems as
they arise. And we'll build settlements where we can. And where there
are problems in the West Bank, we will deal with them forcefully. We’ll
cooperate or co-opt the Palestinian Authority.' And yet, at no point do
you ever see an actual resolution to the problem. ... And my assessment,
which is shared by a number of Israeli observers, I think, is there
comes a point where you can’t manage this anymore, and then you start
having to make very difficult choices."
Over the past couple of days I've had several conversations with
American Jewish leaders—those who are located in the broad middle,
between the J Street/Sheldon Adelson ends of the spectrum—and they are
uniformly, and deeply, anxious. The message was the same: Netanyahu's
next, even-more-right-wing-than-usual government, they fear, will only
take steps to further Israel's isolation, from America and from the
world, and the Obama administration, which feels such deep, emotional
anger toward Israel, will only make the situation worse, by
misunderstanding, and downplaying, Israel's anxieties. (Sad but true:
Some Israelis voted for Netanyahu because they're frightened of
Obama.)
Something unnatural is happening in
Portland, and Police Union President Daryl Turner isn't going to put up
with it. The proper order of things is upended. Black is white and white
is black, cats and dogs cohabit. Madness! A judge has disbelieved a cop.
Last week Circuit Judge Diana Stuart acquitted teenager Thai Gurule on juvenile charges of assaulting a police officer, resisting arrest, and attempted assault on a cop. She acquitted him even though the cops said he did it. Is Judge Stuart some sort of pro-criminal agitator? Apparently. In an extensive written order
she weighed the testimony of sworn police officers against irrelevant
trifles like actual videorecordings of their encounter with Gurule. Even
though the cops swore that Gurule threw punches at them, Judge Stuart
disbelieved them simply because she could not see any punches on the
cell phone videos. Is she some sort of video-fisticuffs expert? Worse
than that, she specifically stated that she didn't find some of their
testimony credible.
As if they weren't cops.
There's a final aspect of this case that warrants a mention. In the
video of this 16-year-old being stopped illegally, his older brother,
who knew he was doing nothing wrong, can be heard shouting at police
that the youngster played football for his high school, didn't drink,
and didn't do marijuana. He was pleading with them and increasingly
distraught as they punched the kid, threw him to the ground, and Tased
him. What he's doing off camera isn't evident in the videos, though it
is apparent that an increasingly hostile crowd was gathering. The end of
the Oregonian story notes,
"Gurule's brother went to trial in adult court in January. Judge Cheryl
Albrecht found him guilty of misdemeanor interfering with a police
officer and resisting arrest, but acquitted him of disorderly conduct.
Albrecht sentenced him to 64 hours of community service and two years of
probation." I don't know if the brother got a bogus conviction or if he
really did criminally interfere with police by doing something stupid
off camera.
Either way, he is a young black man who wouldn't have this criminal
conviction, two years probation, and 64 hours of community service but
for the fact that Portland police illegally stopped his brother,
needlessly escalated the encounter, and meted out what has now been
judged excessive force in the course of taking him into custody.
adn | Anchorage police served a search warrant on the
Alaska Cannabis Club's downtown clubhouse on Friday afternoon, taking
boxes of evidence from the residence as club owner Charlo Greene
watched.
Anchorage Police Department spokesperson Jennifer Castro
told reporters on scene later Friday afternoon that police had received
reports of illegal marijuana sales occurring at the clubhouse. No
charges had been filed Friday, Castro said.
Police arrived about 1 p.m., Greene said. Greene, whose legal name is Charlene Egbe, is a former television news reporter who achieved national notoriety in September when she quit on-air after announcing she was the owner of the club.
A copy of the search warrant provided by Greene
specified police were searching for evidence of "misconduct involving a
controlled substance."
According to Greene, there were nine
marijuana plants in one duplex and 14 in another. Five medical-marijuana
cardholders live at the residence, Greene said. She said 10 to 12
medical marijuana cardholders were in the residence when the search
warrant was served.
"I'm not surprised but I am disappointed," Greene said of the raid.
Two
marked police cars were outside the residence on Friday afternoon, with
a few more arriving as the search wore on. Greene said about seven
officers were boxing up marijuana plants, computers, papers and other
materials in the clubhouse. Greene said she was free to go but chose to
wait while police took evidence from the home.
An officer on scene confirmed no arrests were being made Friday afternoon.
At 3:10
p.m., police began to load evidence in paper bags and cardboard
boxes into a white van from the back door of the clubhouse. At
about 3:15 p.m., a red pickup and black Jeep were towed away from the
house.
Greene and boyfriend, Peter LoMonaco, watched as the vehicles were towed away.
Greene said the club would “open tomorrow morning at 11 a.m. and give free weed to all our members who come through.”
Greene said she would be hiring an attorney and was “gonna sue the s--- out of the city.”
economic-undertow | Many
of the places that are suffering unrest and war were components of- or
client states of the USSR during its heyday: Libya (client), Egypt (a
Soviet client before becoming an American client), Somalia (client),
Eritrea (client), Afghanistan (client) Yemen (client), Syria (long-term
client), Iraq (client); Armenia, Azerbaijan, Chechnya, Georgia, Ukraine,
Dagestan, Nagorno-Karabakh (all components of USSR); also Vietnam,
Laos, Angola and North Korea (all Soviet clients but wars have ended in
these countries) … also Russia itself. Seen from a long-term
perspective, the end of the Soviet Union government turns out not to be
the bloodless event as was advertised, the rotting empire still has some
collapse left in it.
One of the duties of the Economic Undertow is to turn conventional
historic narratives on their heads, to where they begin make sense. What
Americans have been fed about the demise of the Soviet Union is a
self-serving, political/ideological fairy tale: that the United States
under the direction of Ronald Reagan’s brilliant conservative leadership
outspent the USSR in an arms race that eventually — along with
collapsing oil prices caused by new oil on the markets from Prudhoe Bay
and the North Sea — bankrupted the Communist government. Once the
economic and ideological fault lines were revealed, the various
client/satellite states that made up the Soviet empire peaceably went
their own way without interference from Moscow. All of this ‘revealing’
and ‘peaceable-ness’ took place over a remarkably short period of time
in the early 1990s: here today, gone the next.
The more realistic narrative has Soviet intelligence agencies —
perhaps collaborating with those of the West along with Western
interests (banks) — gaining control over Russian assets, shifting them
to well-connected insiders, with the decrepit- and ossified Communist
government powerless to do anything about it. This process began before-
or during the Brezhnev period with matters well underway by the time of
Gorbachev … Perestroika being a (feeble) attempt on the part of the
Communist establishment to regain both credibility and some measure of
control. What happened in Russia was not reform and the end of communism
was an accident: what actually took place was the greatest crime of the
modern era, the theft of an empire by the country’s intelligence
services and criminal associates.
This outcome was a natural consequence of the Soviet Union as a
regimented national security state with outsized spy agencies … as well
as the slow commercial opening with the West beginning during the
Khrushchev era. Within the immense ganglia of the Soviet intelligence-
and internal security apparatus there was a kind of singularity or
dawning self-awareness … the managers grasped in an instant they had
access to the levers of control outside the reach of the Party, the
Politburo and the Red Army. The rise of the agencies’ power was a
consequence of Stalin’s paranoia; the Stalinist Russia was built on a
foundation of intrusive spying and control/liquidation of potential
internal enemies. Stalin held the agencies in check by way of periodic purges,
no group of operatives could become too comfortable or entrenched, they
had to constantly look over their own shoulders. Once ‘Uncle Joe’ was
gone there were no further checks on spy agency power, they could act
with impunity and did: what occurred was a silent coup d’etat with the
KGB state first emerging publicly under Yuri Andropov.
Once the looting and undermining was well-established in the center it
spread out and took hold among the clients with consequences that can be
seen clearly today.
At the same time, contact with the West, as tentative as it was,
informed the Russian intelligence elite what was possible … that the
Western standards for wealth and success were both qualitatively- and
qualitatively superior to what was available under egalitarian
communism. In 1975, to be wealthy and successful as a Swiss or Londoner
far exceeded what was possible in Leningrad or Kiev.
Under this scenario, ‘Nemtsov the reformer’ was either a co-conspirator — or, more likely a tool of intelligence
services and/or Western business interests; an operative within the
looting scheme along with Gaidar, Chubais and others. Instead of being
the heir to Stalin’s strongman legacy, Putin recedes to become the
technocratic figurehead who serves to distract public attention as the
Russian Mario Monti or Antonis Samaras … meanwhile, the stealing takes
place in the background.
hirhome | This paper advances an ``information goods'' theory that explains
prestige processes as an emergent product of psychological adaptations
that evolved to improve the quality of information acquired via
cultural transmission. Natural selection favored social learners who
could evaluate potential models and copy the most successful among
them. In order to improve the fidelity and comprehensiveness of such
ranked-biased copying, social learners further evolved dispositions to
sycophantically ingratiate themselves with their chosen models, so as
to gain close proximity to, and prolonged interaction with, these
models. Once common, these dispositions created, at the group level,
distributions of deference that new entrants may adaptively exploit to
decide who to begin copying. This generated a preference for models who
seem generally ``popular.'' Building on social exchange theories, we
argue that a wider range of phenomena associated with prestige
processes can more plausibly be explained by this simple theory than by
others, and we test its predictions with data from throughout the
social sciences. In addition, we distinguish carefully between
dominance (force or force threat) and prestige (freely conferred
deference).
archive | The distinction between fast and slow thinking has been explored by
many psychologists over the last twenty-five years. For reasons that I
explain more fully in the next chapter, I describe mental life by the
metaphor of two agents, called System 1 and System 2, which respectively produce
fast and slow thinking. I speak of the features of intuitive and
deliberate thought as if they were traits and dispositions of two
characters in your mind. In the picture that emerges from recent
research, the intuitive System 1 is more influential than your
experience tells you, and it is the secret author of many of the
choices and judgments you make. Most of this book is about the workings
of System 1 and the mutual influences between it and System 2.
The book is divided into five parts. Part 1 presents the basic elements
of a two-systems approach to judgment and choice. It elaborates the
distinction between the automatic operations of System 1 and the
controlled operations of System 2, and shows how associative memory,
the core of System 1, continually constructs a coherent interpretation
of what is going on in our world at any instant. I attempt to give a
sense of the complexity and richness of the automatic and often
unconscious processes that underlie intuitive thinking, and of how
these automatic processes explain the heuristics of judgment. A goal is
to introduce a language for thinking and talking about the mind.
Part 2 updates the study of judgment heuristics and explores a major
puzzle: Why is it so difficult for us to think statistically? We easily
think associatively, we think metaphorically, we think causally, but
statistics requires thinking about many things at once, which is
something that System 1 is not designed to do.
The difficulties of statistical thinking contribute to the main theme
of Part 3, which describes a puzzling limitation of our mind: our
excessive confidence in what we believe we know, and our apparent
inability to acknowledge the full extent of our ignorance and the uncertainty of the
world we live in. We are prone to overestimate how much we understand
about the world and to underestimate the role of chance in events. Overconfidence is fed by the illusory certainty of hindsight. My views
on this topic have been influenced by Nassim Taleb, the author of The
Black Swan. I hope for watercooler conversations that intelligently
explore the lessons that can be learned from the past while resisting
the lure of hindsight and the illusion of certainty.
The focus of part 4 is a conversation with the discipline of economics
on the nature of decision making and on the assumption that economic
agents are rational. This section of the book provides a current view, informed by the two-system model, of the key concepts of prospect
theory, the model of choice that Amos and I published in 1979.
Subsequent chapters address several ways human choices deviate from the
rules of rationality. I deal with the unfortunate tendency to treat
problems in isolation, and with framing effects, where decisions are
shaped by inconsequential features of choice problems. These
observations, which are readily explained by the features of System 1,
present a deep challenge to the rationality assumption favored in
standard economics.
Part 5 describes recent research that has introduced a distinction
between two selves, the experiencing self and the remembering self,
which do not have the same interests. For example, we can expose people
to two painful experiences. One of these experiences is strictly worse
than the other, because it is longer. But the automatic formation of
memories—a feature of System 1—has its rules, which we can exploit so
that the worse episode leaves a better memory. When people later choose which
episode to repeat, they are, naturally, guided by their remembering
self and expose themselves (their experiencing self) to unnecessary
pain.
The distinction between two selves is applied to the measurement of
wellbeing, where we find again that what makes the experiencing self
happy is not quite the same as what satisfies the remembering self. How
two selves within a single body can pursue happiness raises some
difficult questions, both for individuals and for societies that view
the well-being of the population as a policy objective.
A concluding chapter explores, in reverse order, the implications of
three distinctions drawn in the book: between the experiencing and the
remembering selves, between the conception of agents in classical economics and in behavioral economics (which borrows from psychology),
and between the automatic System 1 and the effortful System 2. I return
to the virtues of educating gossip and to what organizations might do
to improve the quality of judgments and decisions that are made on
their behalf.
hirhome | In this essay I will explore the important connection between
conformism as an adaptive psychological strategy, and the emergence of
the phenomenon of ethnicity. My argument will be that it makes sense
that nature made us conformists. And once humans acquired this adaptive
strategy, I will argue further, the development of ethnic organization
was inevitable. Understanding the adaptive origins of conformism, as we
shall see, is perhaps the most useful way to shed light on what
ethnicity is—at least when examined from the functional point of view,
which is to say from the point of view of the adaptive problems that
ethnicity solves. I shall begin with a few words about our final
destination.
Ethnicity is a phenomenon that rightly occupies much attention in lay
and scholarly circles alike, because it is relevant to almost
everything that humans do. What is it? From the descriptive point of
view, ethnicity is normative culture. That is to say, an ethnie is a collection of human
beings who more or less agree on how a human life should be lived:
which foods should be avoided, which eaten, and how the latter should
be prepared; what sorts of behaviors are funny, shameful, offensive
(and which aren't); by what specific ritual displays should politeness
be expressed in a million different contexts; what forms of dress and
cosmetic enhancement are appropriate for members of either sex; etc.
Ethnicity is a collection of 'oughts' and 'ought nots' that get passed
down more or less as a package along with the associated social label
inherited from one's parents; "I am an X." In some academic circles,
the question "Which ethnie has figured out the right way to live?" will
immediately be met with the following retort:
"Why, the premise is absurd! Why should there be one best way to live a
human life?" Perhaps. But this cosmopolitan multiculturalist complaint
belongs to a clear minority. To the same question, most human beings
all around the world have a ready answer, and it is always the same;
"My ethnie lives life the way a human should." Consequently, members of
ethnie A can easily amuse, offend, or shock members of ethnie B merely
in the act of conforming to the 'oughts' and 'ought nots' that As feel
obligated to pass down from one generation to the next.
Such haughty or offended reactions are usually labeled 'ethnocentrism',
or, depending on their intensity and negativity, 'prejudice' and
'racism'. Many academics consider ethnocentrism a "bad" thing in any of
its forms. But is it? Yes, it is a bad thing, very much so. The values
of science require that we root out from our observational methods any
source of consistent, distorting bias; and believing that cultural
difference implies error makes it well-nigh impossible for the social
scientist to make much progress in the study of cultural variation.
Even more important, by my lights at least, is that so long as we are
not cosmopolitan and therefore tolerant and compassionate with respect
to the ways of our neighbors, we are still moral failures.
Norm-conformism is an adaptive strategy that maximizes the number of
potential interactants in the conformist's local population. It makes sense to lament and oppose specific outcomes of particular conformist processes, such as some silent majorities, and ethnic prejudice. But to
treat "conformism" and its consequences as a generalized evil in the
abstract would spill a narrowly applicable moral evaluation into domains where not only does morality not apply, but where even a non-moral
interpretation of the negative judgment "bad" will also not fit, given
that norm-conformism does a lot of useful work helping humans navigate
their social world. As always, it is best to put our moral goals in charge of
conduct directed towards our fellow human beings. If we turn them
instead into axiomatic priors of a scientific analysis, we saddle our
attempt to understand human perception and behavior with
epistemological baggage that makes it harder to understand why people
do the things they do. Such ignorance can lead us to hurt people when
we meant to help, and it follows directly that this is ethically undesirable. Therefore, if
we have a compassion-based obligation to, first, do no harm, then we
have a moral imperative to be honest about what causes human behavior,
even if we would prefer to have been designed differently. Wishful
thinking will not heal a troubled world, but an improved understanding
of it just may.
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