mronline | The U.S. government’s Summit of the Americas started on June 6 in Los
Angeles, California. And the event proved to be a major diplomatic
failure for the Joe Biden administration.
Washington refused to invite the socialist governments of Cuba, Venezuela, and Nicaragua.
So to protest this exclusion, the presidents of Mexico, Bolivia, and
Honduras boycotted the summit. Guatemala’s president also chose to skip
the conference.
This means heads of state representing Latin American countries with a
total population of more than 200 million people–a significant
percentage of the Americas–refused to attend Washington’s Summit of the
Americas.
The most significant absence was Mexico’s left-wing president, Andrés Manuel López Obrador, known popularly by the acronym AMLO.
“I am not going to the summit because not all of the countries of the Americas were invited,” AMLO explained in his morning press conference on June 6.
“I believe in the need to change the policy that has been imposed for
centuries, the exclusion, the desire to dominate, the lack of respect
for the sovereignty of the countries and the independence of every
country,” the Mexican president explained.
“There cannot be a Summit of the Americas if all of the countries of
the American continent do not participate,” López Obrador continued.
We consider that to be the old policy of interventionism, of a lack of respect for nations and their peoples.
AMLO criticized the U.S. Republican Party for its “extremist”
positions against Cuba and racist policies against immigrants. But he
also pointed out that some prominent figures in the Democratic Party,
such as New Jersey Senator Bob Menendez, have also contributed to “hate”
against Cuba and hawkish meddling in Latin America’s sovereign affairs.
reuters | BUENOS
AIRES/LIMA/LOS ANGELES, June 8 (Reuters) - China has widened the gap on
the United States in trade terms in large swathes of Latin America
since U.S. President Joe Biden came into office early last year, data
show, underscoring how Washington is being pushed onto the back foot in
the region.
An
exclusive Reuters analysis of U.N. trade data from 2015-2021 shows that
outside of Mexico, the top U.S. trade partner, China has overtaken the
United States in Latin America and widened the gap last year.
The
trend, driven by countries in resource-rich South America, hammers home
how the United States has lost ground in a region long seen as its
backyard, even as Biden aims to reset ties at the Summit of the Americas
in Los Angeles this week.
Mexico
and the United States have had a free trade deal since the 1990s and
the amount of commerce between the two next-door neighbors alone
overshadows Washington's commerce with the rest of Latin America.
But
the trade gap with the United States in the rest of the region, which
first opened up under former U.S. President Donald Trump in 2018, has
grown since Biden took office in January last year, despite a pledge to
restore Washington's role as a global leader and to refocus attention on
Latin America after years of what he once called "neglect".
On
the groundcurrent and former officials told Reuters that the United
States had been slow to take concrete action and that China, a major
buyer of grains and metals, simply offered more to the region in terms
of trade and investment.
Juan
Carlos Capunay, Peru's former ambassador to China, said that Mexico
aside, "the most important commercial, economic and technological ties
for Latin America are definitely with China, which is the top trade
partner for the region, well above the United States."
He added though that politically the region still was more aligned with the United States.
When
excluding Mexico, total trade flows - imports and exports - between
Latin America and China hit nearly $247 billion last year, according to
the latest available data, well above the $174 billion with the United
States. The 2021 data lacks trade numbers from some regional countries
but those balance each other out in terms of U.S.-China bias.
foreignpolicy | Months after U.S. President Joe Biden first indicated that his administration would launch a new Indo-Pacific Economic Framework
(IPEF) that would signal strengthened U.S. engagement with Asian
economies, the president, together with the leaders of a dozen countries
from across Asia, announced the launch of the IPEF in Tokyo on May 23.
The Biden administration is convinced that the new framework is an
opportunity to showcase what senior U.S. officials have described as a
“foreign policy for the middle class,” an initiative that fulfills a
strategic need while delivering results for U.S. workers and businesses.
In a discussion
with the press before the IPEF’s launch, U.S. National Security Advisor
Jake Sullivan stated that “expanding U.S. economic leadership in the
Indo-Pacific through vehicles like IPEF is good for America.” U.S.
Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo, whose department is responsible for
negotiating three of the framework’s four pillars, described it as “an
important turning point in restoring U.S. economic leadership in the
region and presenting Indo-Pacific countries an alternative to China’s
approach,” And U.S. Trade Representative Katherine Tai called it an
opportunity to “tackle 21st-century challenges and promote fair and
resilient trade for years to come.”
However, while Japan and other U.S. partners in Asia have wanted
Washington to reinvigorate economic cooperation with the region ever
since former U.S. President Donald Trump withdrew the United States from
the Trans-Pacific Partnership
(TPP) in 2017, there is some unease about the IPEF. After all,
Asia-Pacific governments have been clear that they would prefer that the
United States rejoin the TPP—now rechristened as the Comprehensive and
Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPTPP)—to any
alternative.
The slow process of determining what will be in the four “pillars” of
the IPEF, how negotiations will be handled due to a division of labor
between the U.S. trade representative and the commerce secretary, and
uncertainty about which governments would sign up have deepened the
ambivalence.
As a result of this ambivalence, the joint statement
launching the framework referred to “collective discussions toward
future negotiations,” indicating that there is more work to do to flesh
out the initiative.
Asian governments are not wrong to have mixed feelings about the
IPEF. U.S. trade officials plan to seek higher labor and environmental
performances from negotiating partners, but they have also indicated
that they are not prepared to offer access to the U.S. market—let alone
pursue a TPP-style free trade agreement. Tai, the U.S. trade
representative, has described
such conventional agreements, which provide broad market access in
exchange for pledges to improve labor and environmental standards that
critics contend will likely have little practicalimpact
on real-world conditions, as a “20th-century tool.” She wants to show
that it is possible to pursue an international economic policy that
delivers for working- and middle-class Americans.
voltairenet | In 2016, the United States committed to arming Ukraine to fight and win a
war against Russia. Subsequently, the US Department of Defense
organized a biological research program in Ukraine, and then huge
amounts of nuclear fuel were secretly transferred to the country. These
data change the interpretation of this war: it was not wanted and
prepared by Moscow, but by Washington.
Throughout this series of articles, which began a month and a half
before the war in Ukraine, I have been developing the idea that the
Straussians, the small group of Leo Strauss followers in the US
administration, were planning a confrontation against Russia and China.
However, in the tenth episode of this series, I related how the Azov
regiment became the paramilitary pillar of the Ukrainian Banderists by
referring to the visit of Senator John McCain to it in 2016 [1].
However, the latter is not a Straussian, but was advised by Robert
Kagan during his presidential election campaign in 2008, a central
thinker among the Straussians [2], even though he has always cautiously denied his membership in this sect.
The planning of the war against Russia
A video, filmed during John McCain’s visit to Ukraine in 2016, has
resurfaced. It shows the senator accompanied by his colleague and
friend, Senator Lindsey Graham, and Ukrainian President Petro
Poroshenko. The two Americans are traveling on a Senate mission. But
McCain is also the president of the IRI (International Republican
Institute), the Republican branch of the NED (National Endowment for
Democracy). It is known that the IRI has conducted about 100 seminars
for the leaders of Ukrainian political parties classified as right-wing,
including for the Banderists. The senators are addressing officers of
the Azov regiment, the main Banderist paramilitary formation. This
should come as no surprise. John McCain has always maintained that the
United States should rely on the enemies of its enemies, whoever they
may be. Thus, he has publicly claimed responsibility for his contacts
with Daesh against the Syrian Arab Republic [3]
In this video, Senators Lindsey Graham and John McCain assure that
the United States will give all the weapons necessary for them to
succeed in defeating Russia.
This video, I repeat, was recorded six years before the Russian army
entered Ukraine. The two senators are investing their interlocutors with
a mission. They do not see them as mercenaries who are paid, but as
proxies who will fight for the unipolar world to the death.
Shortly afterwards, President Poroshenko, who had attended the
meeting in battle dress, changed the badge of his secret service, the
SBU. It is now an owl holding a sword directed against Russia with the
motto "The wise will rule over the stars". It is clear that the
Ukrainian state apparatus was preparing for war against Russia on behalf
of the United States.
Three years later, on September 5, 2019, the Rand Corporation
organized a meeting in the US House of Representatives to explain its
plan: to weaken Russia by forcing it to deploy in Kazakhstan, then in
Ukraine and as far as Transnistria [4].
I have explained at length in two previous articles [5]
that at the end of the Second World War the United States and the
United Kingdom took over many Nazi leaders and Ukrainian Banderists to
turn them against the USSR. They mothered these fanatics as soon as the
USSR disappeared and used them against Russia. It remained to explore
how they armed them.
sputnik | Access
to high-tech weapons and Western military master classes was not only
available to the Armed Forces of Ukraine, but also to fighters of the
nationalist battalions. According to Scott Ritter,
a former US Marine Corps intelligence officer, US and British military
instructors began training Ukrainian soldiers from the Azov Battalion in
2015. Ritter said that the goal of Western specialists was to create
nationalist detachments in Ukraine, which is why the Americans and
Britons got in touch with the Azov Battalion.
In
an interview with an unnamed website on 18 March 2016, Roman Zvarich,
the head of the headquarters of the Azov Civil Corps, said that “last
summer”, they had organised an officer school with Azov’s “Georgian
brother”. According to Zvarich, the tutors were four former American
officers and one Canadian.
He
also said that 32 Azov officers had graduated from the school and that
they were “ready to carry out tactical tasks according to the procedures
adopted in NATO countries, and they know better than Ukrainian
generals”. Zvarich argued that a new military headquarters had been
built in Azov in full line with NATO standards – “probably the only such
headquarters in the system of the Ukrainian Armed Forces”.
In 2018, American journalist and blogger Max Blumenthal published a study
on the contacts of the Azov Battalion with US military personnel.
According to the author, in November 2017, overseas military inspectors
visited the Azov Battalion, “known as a bastion of neo-Nazism in the
ranks of the Armed Forces of Ukraine”, to discuss “logistics and
deepening cooperation”. An unnamed Azov fighter quoted by Blumenthal
told American journalists that US instructors and volunteers worked
closely with his battalion. American officers met with Azov commanders
for two months for “training and other assistance”.
The
leadership of Azov, Blumenthal argued, managed to establish warm
relations with the US military. A photograph posted on the Azov website
shows a US officer shaking hands with the Azov commander (and the
American is not at all embarrassed by the Nazi symbols on the uniform of
his Ukrainian counterpart). These photos confirm the secret ties
between Ukrainian nationalists and US military personnel, according to
the journalist.
Blumenthal
drew a parallel between Washington's billion-dollar programme to train
Syrian “moderate rebels” and the US military’s ties to Ukrainian
nationalists, claiming that there are clear similarities between the two
projects. Previously, heavy weapons allegedly designed for the Free
Syrian Army fell directly into the hands of Daesh*, and now US arms go
directly to Azov extremists, Blumenthal concludes.
thesaker | If the unprecedented tidal wave of sanctions which the West had sent
toward Russia had produced some sort of tangible effect during the first
two or three months of Russia’s special operation in the Ukraine, then
this strategy would have been quite enough to ease suffering Western
masses through the shock of the unfolding crisis (although the crisis
would continue to unfold even if the Russian economy had collapsed). But
over the longer term this strategy stops working. First, the “blame
Putin” narrative is rather monotonous and gets old quickly. Second, and
far more importantly, at the level of mass subconscious, it creates the
impression that Putin is a god: super-powerful, super-influential and
able to influence processes both global and local through subtle and
invisible means. Moreover, Putin the god is Zeus-like and has powerful
atomic thunderbolts at his disposal, adding terrifying appeal to his
already frightful image.
Sooner or later the Western mass subconscious will form a simple and
perfectly logical thought: if Putin is all-powerful and
super-influential, and if we with our feeble “sanctions from Hell” can
do nothing to weaken or dislodge him over three, then five, then seven
months, then, obviously, we must come to terms with him and accede to
his demands before things get any worse for us! And while it would be
demeaning for the Western mass subconscious to negotiate with a petty
tyrant or a mad despot, negotiating with an all-powerful demigod who
holds the fate of humanity in his hands is not shameful at all but a
necessary, unavoidable, eminently reasonable measure. Moreover, it
should be possible to portray such a compromise in flattering terms: as a
magnanimous gift from the community of civilized nations offered in
good faith in order to save the world from nuclear armageddon about to
be unleashed by an angry, all-powerful demigod.
In turn, if Western politicians are, as one might expect, reluctant
to negotiate with Putin and to compromise, suffering Western masses will
blame them for any delay. If Putin is all-powerful and
super-influential, then why aren’t they negotiating and seeking
compromise? What are they waiting for? What’s wrong with them? The
better-informed element among the Western masses might even be able to
vaguely guess at a seldom-discussed but rather obvious fact: what Putin
wants is not at all unreasonable. He just wants some of Ukraine (not
necessarily even all of it—just the enthusiastically, patriotically
Russian bits) and he also wants NATO the hell away from Russia’s
borders. “What do we want this Ukraine for anyway?” this enlightened
element might inquire. After all, most people in the West lived many
happy years not knowing that the Ukraine even existed. What’s more,
their recent discovery of its existence has coincided with the onset of a
very nasty crisis—and they still can’t find the damned place on a map!
And now they have to suffer with sky-high gas prices, with unaffordable
food, galloping inflation, shortages of baby formula—all because some
idiot politicians are refusing to give Putin this fucking Ukraine which
nobody else wants anyway? (Well, Poland does, but who the heck is
Poland?) Come on! Be reasonable! Get rid of this stupid Hunter Biden
playground and let’s get on with it!
That is the new narrative that is inevitably forming in the mass
subconscious of the West, and as time passes, energy prices continue to
increase, shortages of all sorts of things become commonplace… and
meanwhile the ruble strengthens and Russia gets richer and richer in
spite of “sanctions from Hell,” unhurriedly moving its fabled wall of
artillery fire westward across the Ukrainian landscape, this narrative
will become stronger and stronger and will eventually become dominant.
At that point, any attempt to “blame Putin” will be met with boos,
hisses and a volley of rotten vegetables. What should we expect Western
politicians to do under such circumstances? We should not expect any
surprises; they will do what they have always done: they will try to
suppress the new, competing narrative. They will “cancel” anyone who
tries to articulate it within the media space. (Tucker Carlson beware!)
In doing so, the West will neatly echo what’s happened within the
Ukraine itself—a symptom of a creeping Ukrainization of the West. In the
Ukraine, for every single disastrous, catastrophic failure that had
occurred in 2014 and 2015, the Kiev regime blamed it squarely on Putin
personally. Over time it has succeeded in forming a sort of quasi-cult
of Putin as an all-powerful evil deity hell-bent on destroying poor,
sore-beset little cuddly Ukraine. As a result, by 2018 give or take a
year, in the Ukrainian mass subconscious there formed a new narrative:
“What do we need this Russian-infested Crimea or this ornery Donbass
for? Why can’t we just give them to Putin, so that he leaves us alone
and lets us develop as a European-oriented country?”
What did the Kiev regime do about this new narrative? It did whatever
it could to suppress it. This wasn’t any sort of independent initiative
on its part; it is, after all, a colonial administration run from
Washington. And since Washington was busy architecting a Ukrainian war
against Russia, any narrative that involved making peace with Russia was
simply not allowed. That’s why all Ukrainian opposition political
parties were banned, all non-government-controlled television channels
were shut down and anyone who ventured to guess that giving de facto
independent territories a chance to decide their own fate might be a
good idea were charged with separatism and imprisoned or killed. As a
result, the West got what it wanted: a Ukrainian war with Russia.
But then something went horribly wrong. Putin pre-empted the
Ukrainian attack and lit a backfire by sending in tank columns into
territory previously controlled by the Kiev regime, scrambling its
logistics throwing its battle plans into ghastly disarray. Then he set
about methodically blowing up the Ukraine’s warmaking capacity using
standoff weapons. According to schedule, it will be all gone later this
month, Western military aid notwithstanding. And then it turned out that
Russia was ready for “sanctions from Hell,” having spent eight years
preparing for them, and was able to sustain the blow, which then bounced
back onto the West and started smashing it to bits. The West
reflexively continued to follow the Ukrainian pattern and blame it all
on Putin. By now the alternative narrative of an all-powerful Lord Putin
is fully formed and we should expect to hear more and more voices
clamoring for negotiation and compromise with him.
The aforementioned Tucker Carlson is one of these voices, and his
influence on his vast audience sets the tone for a significant chunk of
electorate in the US—not that their vote counts for much. Much more
surprisingly, the same opinion was voiced at Davos by none other than
that talking fossil Henry Kissinger! In response, the Ukrainians added
Kissinger to their… terrorist database. Various Kiev regime mouthpieces
positively choked from fury. How could he? Doesn’t he know that
negotiating with Putin is strictly verboten? That narrative must be
suppressed—in the Ukraine and in the West!
The strategy of blaming it all on Putin has backfired grandly in both
the Ukraine and in the West and will continue backfiring, eating away at
the social fabric and demoralizing the population. But that’s not all!
This strategy is also immensely helpful to Russia. Ignoring the obvious
thought that anything that is detrimental to the West is automatically
beneficial for Russia, there is another, much more significant benefit
that this strategy provides to Russia directly: it works to raise
Russia’s, and Putin’s, prestige in the rest of the world, which is
already much more important to Russia than the West will ever be again.
michael-hudson | Is the proxy war in Ukraine turning out to be only a lead-up to
something larger, involving world famine and a foreign-exchange crisis
for food- and oil-deficit countries?
Many more people are likely to die of famine and economic disruption
than on the Ukrainian battlefield. It thus is appropriate to ask whether
what appeared to be the Ukraine proxy war is part of a larger strategy
to lock in U.S. control over international trade and payments. We are
seeing a financially weaponized power grab by the U.S. Dollar Area over
the Global South as well as over Western Europe. Without dollar credit
from the United States and its IMF subsidiary, how can countries stay
afloat? How hard will the U.S. act to block them from de-dollarizing,
opting out of the U.S. economic orbit?
U.S. Cold War strategy is not alone in thinking how to benefit from
provoking a famine, oil and balance-of-payments crisis. Klaus Schwab’s
World Economic Forum worries that the world is overpopulated – at least
with the “wrong kind” of people. As Microsoft philanthropist (the
customary euphemism for rentier monopolist) Bill Gates has explained:
“Population growth in Africa is a challenge.” His lobbying foundation’s
2018 “Goalkeepers” report warned: “According to U.N. data, Africa is
expected to account for more than half of the world’s population growth
between 2015 and 2050. Its population is projected to double by 2050,”
with “more than 40 percent of world’s extremely poor people … in just
two countries: Democratic Republic of the Congo and Nigeria.”
Gates advocates cutting this projected population increase by 30
percent by improving access to birth control and expanding education to
“enable more girls and women to stay in school longer, have children
later.” But how can that be afforded with this summer’s looming food and
oil squeeze on government budgets?
South Americans and some Asian countries are subject to the same jump
in import prices resulting from NATO’s demands to isolate Russia.
JPMorgan Chase head Jamie Dimon recently warned attendees at a Wall
Street investor conference that the sanctions will cause a global
“economic hurricane.” He echoed the warning by IMF Managing Director
Kristalina Georgieva in April that, “To put it simply: we are facing a
crisis on top of a crisis.” Pointing out that the Covid pandemic has
been capped by inflation as the war in Ukraine has made matters “much
worse, and threatens to further increase inequality” she concluded that:
“The economic consequences from the war spread fast and far, to
neighbors and beyond, hitting hardest the world’s most vulnerable
people. Hundreds of millions of families were already struggling with
lower incomes and higher energy and food prices.”
The Biden administration blames Russia for “unprovoked aggression.”
But it is his administration’s pressure on NATO and other Dollar Area
satellites that has blocked Russian exports of grain, oil and gas. But
many oil- and food-deficit countries see themselves as the primary
victims of “collateral damage” caused by US/NATO pressure.
Is world famine and balance-of-payments crisis a deliberate US/NATO policy?
On June 3, African Union Chairperson Macky Sall, President
of Senegal, went to Moscow to plan how to avoid a disruption in Africa’s
food and oil trade by refusing to become pawns in the US/NATO
sanctions. So far in 2022, President Putin noted: “Our trade is growing.
In the first months of this year it grew by 34 percent.” But Senegal’s
President Sall worried that: “Anti-Russia sanctions have made this
situation worse and now we do not have access to grain from Russia,
primarily to wheat. And, most importantly, we do not have access
to fertilizer.”
U.S. diplomats are forcing countries to choose whether, in George W.
Bush’s words, “you are either for us or against us.” The litmus test is
whether they are willing to force their populations to starve and shut
down their economies for lack of food and oil by stopping trade with the
world’s Eurasian core of China, Russia, India, Iran and their
neighbors.
NYTimes | If you look at historical data on the U.S. economy, you often notice that something changed in the late 1970s or early ’80s. Incomes started growing more slowly for most workers, and inequality surged.
David
Gelles — a Times reporter who has been interviewing C.E.O.s for years —
argues that corporate America helped cause these trends. Specifically,
David points to Jack Welch, the leader of General Electric who became
the model for many other executives. I spoke to David about these ideas,
which are central to his new book on Welch (and to a Times story based on it).
How do you think corporate America has changed since the 1980s in ways that helped cause incomes to grow so slowly?
For
decades after World War II, big American companies bent over backward
to distribute their profits widely. In General Electric’s 1953 annual
report, the company proudly talked about how much it was paying its
workers, how its suppliers were benefiting and even how much it paid the
government in taxes.
That
changed with the ascendance of men like Jack Welch, who took over as
chief executive of G.E. in 1981 and ran the company for the next two
decades. Under Welch, G.E. unleashed a wave of mass layoffs and factory
closures that other companies followed. The trend helped destabilize the
American middle class. Profits began flowing not back to workers in the
form of higher wages, but to big investors in the form of stock
buybacks. And G.E. began doing everything it could to pay as little in
taxes as possible.
You make clear
that many other C.E.O.s came to see Welch as a model and emulated him.
So why wasn’t there already a Jack Welch before Jack Welch, given the
wealth and fame that flowed to him as a result of his tenure?
This was one of those moments when an exceptional individual at a critical moment really goes on to shape the world.
Welch
was ferociously ambitious and competitive, with a ruthlessness that
corporate America just hadn’t seen. In G.E., he had control of a large
conglomerate with a history of setting the standards by which other
companies operated. And Welch arrived at the moment that there was a
reassessment of the role of business underway. The shift in thinking was
captured by the economist Milton Friedman, who wrote in The Times Magazine that “the social responsibility of business is to increase its profits.”
Was
Welch’s approach good for corporate profits and bad for workers — or
ultimately bad for the company, too? You lean toward the second answer,
based on G.E.’s post-Welch struggles. Some other writers point out
that many companies have thrived with Welch-like strategies. I’m left
wondering whether Welchism is a zero-sum gain for shareholders or bad
for everyone.
Welch
transformed G.E. from an industrial company with a loyal employee base
into a corporation that made much of its money from its finance division
and had a much more transactional relationship with its workers. That
served him well during his run as C.E.O., and G.E. did become the most
valuable company in the world for a time.
But
in the long run, that approach doomed G.E. to failure. The company
underinvested in research and development, got hooked on buying other
companies to fuel its growth, and its finance division was badly exposed
when the financial crisis hit. Things began to unravel almost as soon
as Welch retired, and G.E. announced last year it would break itself up.
Similar
stories played out at dozens of other companies where Welch disciples
tried to replicate his playbook, such as Home Depot and Albertsons. So
while Welchism can increase profits in the short-term, the long-term
consequences are almost always disastrous for workers, investors and the
company itself.
Welch was responding to real problems at G.E.
and the American economy in the 1970s and early ’80s. If his cure
created even bigger problems, what might be a better alternative?
An
important first step is rebalancing the distribution of the wealth that
our biggest companies create. For the past 40-plus years we’ve been
living in this era of shareholder primacy that Friedman and Welch
unleashed. Meanwhile, the federal minimum wage remained low and is still
just $7.25, and the gap between worker pay and productivity kept
growing wider.
There
are some tentative signs of change. The labor crisis and pressure from
activists has led many companies to increase pay for frontline workers.
Some companies, such as PayPal, are handing out stock to everyday
employees.
But
it’s going to take more than a few magnanimous C.E.O.s to fix these
problems. And though I know it’s risky to place our faith in the
government these days, there is a role for policy here: finding ways to
get companies to pay a living wage, invest in their people and stop this
race to the bottom with corporate taxes.
American
companies can be competitive and profitable while also taking great
care of their workers. They’ve been that way before, and I believe they
can be that way again.
ukraina.ru |Opening the meeting, Alexei Pushkov , Chairman of the Federation Council Commission on Information Policy and Interaction with the Media , noted the importance that information policy has today. And he expressed a number of considerations as to what should be taken into account in its formation in the foreseeable period. According
to Pushkov, we already live in a qualitatively changed world, we should
not expect that after the end or settlement of the conflict in Ukraine,
everything will return to normal.
“We
see a big reformatting of the geopolitical space, geo-economic space,
transport links, reformatting of energy supplies, etc. we are entering a qualitatively new world,
” the politician said, emphasizing that we also see a geopolitical gap
between Russia and the West: “these are no longer fluctuations, this is
a different state of relations, and if this is less pronounced on our
part, then the West clearly took the line on the maximum break in
relations and contacts with Russia.
The
politician noted that this big gap is accompanied by "a fundamental
ideological and informational delimitation - at least it concerns the
demarcation with the official line of Western states and the mainstream
media, which determine the informational and propaganda agenda."
“This big gap was a matter of time, since Russia fully decided on its choice to develop as an independent center of power. This was not provided for in Western doctrine and Western policy, ” Pushkov said.
He
added that the doctrine of the “end of history”, which justifies the
triumph of the Western liberal model of the world order, is unacceptable
for Russia.
The
vaunted pluralism is over, now the West has one doctrine that everyone
must obey, and a number of tools are used to ensure this doctrine
(cancellation culture, censorship, blocking objectionable resources,
banning journalists, etc.). All this is well felt in the information field of Russia, which, of course, cannot be put up with.
The
disengagement manifests itself in various forms - for example, the West
has rejected the principle of equal security, is ready to impose its
interests by force, imposes a "deliberately muddy" system based on rules
that are constantly changing and have no logical justification - in
fact, a new international law is being introduced, "the law de facto".
In this regard, the information policy of Russia faces a set of important tasks, the senator continued. There are several directions. This is, in particular, the development and approval of their own criteria for assessing what is happening in the world; gain an independent view of themselves; to
reconsider the ideas of the superiority of the Western liberal model -
“it turned out that the Soviet Union was not so bad”, and Western
democracy, in its current form, clearly cannot be a model ...
In
a word, in the Russian Federation “it is necessary to form a new
information, educational, educational and cultural space in which the
Western world will no longer be a subject of fetishization ... but also
not a subject of rejection,” the politician said.
valdaiclub | In the
event that the growing conflict in and around Ukraine does not lead
to irreparable consequences on a global scale in the near future, its
most important result will be a fundamental demarcation between Russia
and Europe, which will make it impossible to maintain even insignificant
neutral zones and will require a significant reduction in trade and
economic ties. Restoring control over the territory of Ukraine, which,
most likely, should become a long-term goal of Russian foreign policy,
will solve the main problem of regional security — the presence
of a “grey zone”, the management of which inevitably becomes the subject
of a confrontation that is dangerous from the point of view
of escalation. In this sense, we can count on a certain stabilisation
in the long term, although it will not be based on cooperation between
the main regional powers. However, it is already obvious that the road
to peace will be long enough and will be accompanied by extremely
dangerous situations.
In his speech to the participants in the Davos forum, Henry Kissinger,
the patriarch of international politics, pointed to just such
a prospect as the least desirable from his point of view, since Russia
then “could alienate itself completely from Europe and seek a permanent
alliance elsewhere”, which would lead to the emergence of diplomatic
distances on the scale of the Cold War. In his opinion, peace talks
between the parties would be the most expedient way to prevent this;
these would result in Russian interests being taken into account. For
Kissinger, this means that in some respect, Russia’s participation
in the European “concert” is an unconditional value, and the loss
of this must be prevented as long as some chance remains.
However, with all the highest appreciation of the merits and wisdom
of this statesman and scholar, the impeccable logic of Henry Kissinger
faces only one obstacle — it works when the balance of power
is determined and relations between states have already passed the stage
of military conflict. In this sense, he certainly follows in the
footsteps of his great predecessors — Chancellor of the Austrian Empire
Klemens von Metternich and British Foreign Secretary Viscount
Castlereagh, whose diplomatic achievements were the subject
of Kissinger’s doctoral dissertation in 1956. Both of them went down
in history precisely as the creators of the new European order,
established after the end of the Napoleonic era in France and which
persisted, with minor adjustments, for almost a century in international
politics.
Like his great predecessors, Kissinger appears on the world stage
in an era when the balance of power between the most important players
is already being determined by “iron and blood.” The time of his
greatest achievement was the first half of the 1970s — a period
of relative stability. However, one cannot ignore the fact that the
ability of states to behave in that way was due not to their wisdom
or responsibility to future generations, but to much more mundane
factors. The first factor was the completion of the “shrinkage” of the
order which obtained its approximate features as a result of the World
War II. Over the next 25 years (1945 — 1970), this order was “finalised”
during the war in Korea, the US intervention in Vietnam, the USSR’s
military actions in Hungary and Czechoslovakia, several indirect wars
between the USSR and the US in the Middle East, the completion of the
process of disintegration of the European colonial empires, as well
as a significant number of smaller, but also dramatic events. So now
it would be difficult to expect diplomacy to be able to take first place
in world affairs at the initial stage of the process, which promises
to be very long and, most likely, quite bloody.
The material basis of that order, which was given its final polish
by Kissinger’s diplomacy, the policy of “détente” with the USSR and the
1972 reconciliation with China, was the strategic defeat of Europe
as a result of two world wars in the first half of the 20th century. The
collapse of the European colonial empires and the historic defeat
of Germany in its attempt to take centre stage in world affairs brought
the United States to the forefront, which made it possible to make
politics truly global. As a result of the self-destruction of the USSR,
this order turned out to be short-lived. We see now that this was
a great tragedy, since it led to the disappearance of the balance
of power in favour of the dominance of only one power.
Now we can assume that the massive emancipation of mankind from
Western control is of central importance, the most important factor
of which is the growth of China’s economic and political power. If China
itself, as well as India and other major states outside the West, cope
with the task entrusted to them by history, in the coming decades the
international system will acquire features that were completely
uncharacteristic before.
Most of the significant events that are taking place now, both
globally and regionally, are connected with the objective process of the
growth in the importance of China and, following it, other large Asian
countries. The determination Russia has shown in recent years, and
especially months, is also associated with global changes. The fact that
Moscow so purposefully stood up to protect its interests and values was
due not only to domestic Russian reasons, although they are of great
importance. Nor were they predicated upon expectations of direct
material assistance from China, which could compensate for the losses
during the acute phase of the conflict with the West.
indianpunchline | The fact that the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) member states held a
joint ministerial meeting with their Russian counterpart Foreign
Minister Sergey Lavrov in the Saudi capital of Riyadh at this point in
time in global politics conveys a powerful message in itself.
To
drive home the message in no uncertain terms, the Saudi Foreign
Minister Prince Faisal bin Farhan Al Saud said at a press conference
following the ministerial on Wednesday that the GCC member-countries
share a common stance with respect to the crisis in Ukraine. (The news
conference was broadcast live by the Al-Arabiya TV channel.)
“The
countries of the Persian Gulf share a common stance regarding the
Ukrainian crisis and its negative consequences, especially with regard
to the food security of other countries,” Al Saud said.
For
his part, Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov told the media that
“the GCC countries understand the nature of the conflict between Russia
and the West.” Earlier, during a bilateral with Lavrov who was on a
2-day visit, Al Saud said the “the kingdom’s position regarding the
crisis in Ukraine is based on the principles of international law and
support for efforts aimed at achieving a political solution to the
crisis.”
After the meeting, Lavrov said the GCC countries will not
join the West in imposing sanctions on Moscow over the conflict in
Ukraine. In his words, “Aspects of the international situation, which
are connected with the events unfolded by the West around Ukraine, are
well understood by our partners from the Gulf Cooperation Council
states.”
Lavrov added, “We appreciate and reaffirmed today once
again the balanced position that they take towards this issue at
international forums, and in practice, refusing to join the
illegitimate, unilateral Western sanctions that were introduced against
Russia.”
Lavrov said
Moscow and Gulf countries intended to further develop their partnership
in sharp contrast with the growing tensions between Russia and the US
and its European allies. After meeting with the top diplomats of the
UAE, Kuwait, Qatar, Bahrain and Oman in Riyadh, Lavrov said, “We
reaffirmed our focus on the comprehensive development of our
partnership, including in the new conditions that are emerging in the
world economy in the context of the policies of our Western colleagues.”
Looking
ahead, Lavrov expressed satisfaction that “We reaffirmed our focus on
the comprehensive development of our partnership, including in the new
conditions that are emerging in the world economy in the context of the
policies of our Western colleagues.”
The
timing of the GCC-Russia ministerial and Lavrov’s visit to Riyadh is
highly significant at a juncture when the Biden Administration is
pulling out all the stops to repair the US’ fractured relationship with
Saudi Arabia ever since Candidate Biden famously christened the Kingdom
as a “Pariah state” and the Washington establishment launched a
concerted campaign to defame the Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman
personally over the killing of the ex-CIA consultant Jamal Khashoggi.
The US and its allies can impose sanctions without broad international
support, and can claim that the “whole world” supports them, and nations
can draw their own conclusions. But these are not national sanctions. The SWIFT prohibition isn’t, the
seizure of Russia’s FX assets wasn’t, and the EU not being a nation,
none of the EU sanction packages were national or sovereign sanctions either.
The US has actively and aggressively been trying to get other nations to
hew to its Russia sanctions, see its threats to China, Saudi Arabia,
India. But it's not the government of the U.S. which has imposed any of its sanctions regime.
This is an important and insightful way of thinking about sanctions: Sanctions are beyond the Rule of Law and Due Process. For
instance, this Russian or that Russian is sanctioned, absent any due process. I
would also classify the actions against the Unvaccinated as sanctions,
executive or bureaucratic orders
without due process. Even if there might be fair and just due process,
it is too late and expensive.
“Economic sanctions are the modern equivalent of ancient sieges,
trying to starve populations into submission. The devastating impacts of
sieges on access to food, health and other basic services are
well-known.” Sanctions are meant to hurt civilian populations–which makes them
the tactic of choice of cowards unwilling to send in their own
cannon fodder. Civilians dying in sanctioned countries don’t make it into
U.S. newspapers–not when there are blond Ukrainians to photograph.
jomodevplus |Sanctions cut both ways Unless
approved by the UN Security Council (UNSC), sanctions are not
authorized by international law. With Russia’s veto in the UNSC,
unilateral sanctions by the US and its allies have surged following the
Ukraine invasion.
During 1950-2016, ‘comprehensive’ trade sanctions have cut bilateral trade between sanctioning countries and their victims by 77% on average. The US has imposed more sanctions regimes, and for longer periods, than any other country.
The
US has increased using sanctions since 2016, imposing them on more than
1,000 entities or individuals yearly, on average, from 2016 to 2020 –
nearly 80% more than in 2008-2015. The one-term Trump administration
raised the US share of all new sanctions to almost half from a third before.
During January-May 2022, 75 countries implemented 19,268 restrictive trade measures.
Such measures on food and fertilizers (85%) greatly exceed those on raw
materials and fuels (15%). Unsurprisingly, the world now faces less
supplies and higher prices for fuel and food.
Monetary
authorities have been raising interest rates to curb inflation, but such
efforts do not address the main causes of higher prices now. Worse,
they are likely to deepen and prolong stagnation, increasing the
likelihood of ‘stagflation’.
Sanctions were supposed to bring Russia to its knees. But less than three months after the rouble plunged, its exchange rate is back to pre-war levels,
rising from the ‘rouble rubble’ promised by Western economic
warmongers. With enough public support, the Russian regime is in no
hurry to submit to sanctions.
counterpunch | Crimes without criminals was not a subject for study when I was in
law school. The two were seen as part of the same illegal package. That
was before notorious corporate lawyers and a cash register Congress
combined to separate economic, health and safety crimes from corporate
accountability, incarceration and deterrence.
Lawlessness is now so rampant that a group of realistic law
professors, led by Professor Mihailis E. Diamantis of the University of
Iowa Law School, claim there is no corporate criminal law. I say
“realistic” because their assertion that corporate criminal law, does
not in fact, exist is not widely acknowledged by their peers.
Most Americans know that none of the executives on Wall Street who
are responsible for the lies, deception, and phony investments they sold
to millions of trusting investors were prosecuted and sent to jail.
“They got away with it,” was the common refrain during the 2008-2009
meltdown of Wall Street that took our economy down and into a deep
recession that resulted in massive job loss and the looting of savings
of tens of millions of Americans.
Not only did the Wall Street Barons escape the Sheriff but they got
an obedient Congress, White House and Federal Reserve to guarantee
trillions of dollars to bail them out, implicitly warning that the big
banks, brokerage firms and other giant financial corporations were
simply “too big to fail.” They had the economy by the throat and
taxpayer dollars in their pockets. Moreover, Wall Streeters made out
like bandits while people on Main Street suffered.
All this and much more made up a rare symposium organized by Professor Diamantis last year at Georgetown Law School. (See: https://www.corporatecrimereporter.com/news/200/imagining-a-world-without-corporate-criminal-law-symposium/).
He wrote that the “economic impact of corporate crime is at least
twenty times greater than all other criminal offenses combined,” quoting
conservative estimates by the FBI. It’s not just economic, he
continued: “Scholars, prosecutors and courts increasingly recognize that
brand name corporations also commit a broad range of ‘street crimes’:
homicide, arson, drug trafficking, dumping and sex offenses.”
The litany of corporate wrongdoing ranges from polluting the air and
drinking water, dumping microplastics that end up inside human beings,
promoting lethal opioids that caused hundreds of thousands of deaths,
providing millions of accounts or products to customers under false
pretenses or without consent, often by creating false records or
misusing customers’ identities, (Wells Fargo), manufacturing defective
motor vehicles, producing contaminated food, allowing software failures
resulting in crashes of two Boeing 737 MAX’s with 346 deaths. (See, Why Not Jail? By Rena Steinzor).
People don’t need law professors to see what’s happening to them and
their children. People laugh when they hear politicians solemnly declare
that “no one is above the law,” extol “the rule of law” and “equal
justice under the law.”
By far the greatest toll in preventable fatalities and serious
injuries in the U.S. flows from either deliberate, negligent or
corner-cutting corporate crime under the direct control and management
of CEOs and company presidents, many of whom make over $10,000 an hour over a 40-hour week.
That memo hasresurfaced
at a time when Holder, now U.S. attorney general, faces increasing
criticism for the Department of Justice's reluctance to bring charges
against white-collar criminals.
“There’s all kinds
of problems with the applications of this policy which began with the
Holder memo and got more formalized,” said John Coffee, a law professor
at Columbia University and an expert in white-collar crime. “You are
going to send a message that we don’t really care significantly about
misconduct within those institutions.”
Although
it brought only a modest change in the way prosecutors evaluate whether
to bring criminal charges against corporations, Holder's memo laid the groundwork for subsequent policies that allowed for more leeway when going after large firms, Coffee said.
Adora
Andy Jenkins, a Justice Department spokeswoman, wrote in an email to
The Huffington Post that under Holder's leadership, "this Justice
Department has stood firm in our approach that no person and no
corporation is above the law."
In 1999, Holder highlighted the possibility of deferred prosecution
-- an arrangement now common in the wake of the financial crisis --
whereby prosecutors essentially give defendants amnesty in exchange for
paying a fine, enacting reforms and cooperating with investigators. But
later officials published further memos, turning the option into more of
a recommendation, Coffee said.
He said the policy was strengthened in response to the Arthur Andersen scandal of the early 2000s. After the government brought criminal charges against the consulting firm, the company failed, causing 28,000 workers -- many of whom likely had no role in any wrongdoing -- to lose their jobs. A court later overturned the charges.
Holder told the Wall Street Journal in 2006
that he drafted the memo in response to complaints that there seemed to
be no uniform rules for deciding whether to bring charges in corporate
cases.
"[I] didn’t
expect these issues would become as big as they were," Holder told the
WSJ at the time. Indeed, they've only grown larger in the seven years
since that interview, as the financial crisis wreaked havoc on the U.S.
economy.
The
government has yet to prosecute any big banks or major executives for
their role in the meltdown, and critics have derided Holder and his
Justice Department for using the collateral damage argument as an excuse
for not doing enough to hold those institutions accountable. The DOJ
came under fire last year after declining to prosecute HSBC for years of money laundering violations, saying that to do so would bring too much damage to the global economy.
“The
government just backed down,” Coffee said of that case. “There were
reasons in 2008 to say maybe we shouldn’t indict any bank we can because
it will just add to the systemic risk. But we were in 2012 to 2013 with
HSBC -- that risk wasn’t there and we weren’t dealing with something
that was relating to the activities that produced the 2008 crisis.”
strategic culture | "Klaus Schwab, passionate for Ukraine, essentially
configured the World Economic Forum (WEF) to showcase Zelensky and to
leverage the argument that Russia should be kicked out of the civilised
world. Schwab’s target was the assembled crème
de la crème of the world’s business leaders assembled there. Zelensky
pitched big: 'We want more sanctions and more weapons'; 'All trade with
the aggressor should be stopped'; 'All foreign business should leave
Russia so that your brands are not associated
with war crimes', he said. Sanctions must be all encompassing; values
must matter.
"Disquiet ran through the Davos set: The WEF is high-octane globalist, right? Yet this Schwab line suggests a de-coupling ‘on stilts’. It precisely reverses interconnectedness. Plus, the western generals in charge are saying that
this conflict may last not just years, but decades. What will this signify for their markets in parts of the world that refuse action against Russia, the moneymen were wondering?"
Prior to Kissinger's words that got him
sanctioned by Zelensky, both a NYT OP/ED and Congressman Eric Cantor
opined in a similar vein:
The Davos ‘greater disquiet’ emerged however, from
an unexpected quarter. Just before the WEF began, the NY Times had run a
piece from the editorial team urging Zelensky to negotiate with Russia.
It argued that such engagement implied making
painful territorial sacrifices. The piece attracted indignant and angry
push-back in Europe and the West, possibly because – albeit couched as
advice to Kiev – its target was evidently Washington and London (the arch belligerents).
Eric Cantor, a former whip in the U.S. House of
Representatives (a legislator well versed on Iran sanctions), also at
Davos, questioned whether the West would be able to maintain a united
front in pursuit of such maximalist aims as Zelensky
and his Military Intelligence Chief have demanded. “We may not get the
next vote”, Cantor opined (in wake of the $40 billion vote ostensibly
earmarked for Ukraine).
Cantor said excluding Russia entirely would require
secondary sanctions against other countries. This would place the West
into a head on clash with China, India, and the almost 60 states which
had refused to back a UN resolution denouncing
Russia’s invasion. He warned that the U.S. may be in danger of overplaying its hand.
Add Kissinger's remarks, and that
makes a massive FUBAR far worse than
Afghanistan.
Eric Cantor, and other Americans at WEF may frame
their disquiet over western objectives in ‘polite company’ as simply
articulating their uncertainties over America’s grand strategy – whether the U.S. is trying to punish Russia for its
aggression, or whether the goal is a subtler use of policy that gives the Kremlin a ‘route out of sanctions’, were it to change course. But behind the narrative lies a darker fear. The unsaid fear of failure.
What does this mean? It means that the West’s
ultimate war aims in Ukraine have so far been able to stay opaque and
undefined, the details swept aside in the mood of the moment.
Paradoxically, this opacity has been preserved
despite the public failure of the West’s first statement of aims – which
was that the seizure of Russia’s offshore foreign reserves; the Russian
bank expulsions from SWIFT; the sanctioning
of the Central Bank; and the broadside of sanctions would, in and of
itself alone, turn the rouble to rubble; cause a run on the domestic
banking system; collapse the Russian economy; and provoke a political
crisis that Putin might not survive.
In short, ‘victory’ would be quick – if not
immediate. We know this, because U.S. officials and the French Finance
Minister, Bruno Le Maire bragged about it publicly.
So confident in a quick financial-war success were these western officials that there
seemed little need to invest deep strategic reflection on the aims or
the course of the secondary Ukrainian military thrust. After all, a
Russia
already economically collapsed, with its currency ruined and its morale
broken, would likely put up little or no fight as the Ukrainian army
swept across Donbas and into Crimea.
Well, the sanctions have proved a bust and Russia’s currency and oil revenues are bountiful.
And now, western politicians are being warned in
the media, and by their own military, that Russia is ‘close to a major
victory’ in Donbas.
This is the unspoken fear disquieting Davos
attendees – fear of another débacle, following that of Afghanistan. One
made all the worse as the ‘war’ on Russia boomerangs into an economic collapse in Europe, and with NATO’s eight-year
investment in building-up a successful proxy-army to NATO standards turning to dust.
This is what Kissinger’s comments – decoded – urge:
‘Don’t procrastinate’; get a quick deal (even an unfavourable one), but
one that can be dressed up, and somehow spun as a ‘win’. But don’t
wait, and let events lead the U.S. into yet another
unmistakable, undeniable débacle.
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