deagel | There have been many questions about the countries forecast specially the one focusing
on the United States of America (USA). They won't be answered one by one but
below you can find some explanation, thoughts and reflections. We are going to
keep this as short as possible.
The majority of the economic and demographic data used in the making of
the
forecasts is widely available by institutions such as the CIA, IMF, UN,
USG,
etc. You can see the most relevant data at every single country's page.
There is a tiny part of data coming from a variety of shadow sources
such
as Internet gurus, unsigned reports and others. But all these sources
are from
the internet and are of public domain for at least a minority. For
example, several years
ago Dagong, the Chinese ratings agency,
published a report analyzing the physical economy of the States
comparing it with those of
China, Germany and Japan. The conclusion was that the US GDP was
something
between $5 to $10 trillion instead of $15 trillion as officially
reported by the
USG. We assume that the official data, especially economic, released by
governments is fake, cooked or distorted in some degree. Historically it
is well
known that the former Soviet Union was making up fake statistics years
before
its collapse. Western as well as other countries are making up their
numbers
today to conceal their real state of affairs. We are sure that many
people out
there can find government statistics in their own countries that by
their own
personal experience are hard to believe or are so optimistic that may
belong to
a different country.
Despite the numeric data "quantity" there is a "quality" model which has not a
direct translation into numeric data. The 2014 strain of Ebola has a death rate
of 50-60% but try to imagine what would happen if there is a pandemic of Ebola
with hundreds of thousands or millions infected with the virus. So far the few
cases of Ebola-infected people have "enjoyed" intensive healthcare with
anti-viral and breathing assistance but above all with abundant human support by
Physicians and nurses. In a pandemic scenario that kind of healthcare won't be
available for the overwhelming number of infected leading to a dramatic increase
of the death rate due to the lack of proper healthcare. The "quality" factor is
that the death rate could increase to 80-90% in a pandemic scenario from the
stated 50-60% rate. The figure
itself is not important what is relevant is the fact that the scenario can
evolve beyond the initial conditions from a 50% death toll to more than 90%. By
the way, no pandemic or nuclear war is included in the forecast.
The key element to understand the process that the USA will enter in the
upcoming decade is migration. In the past, specially in the 20th
century, the
key factor that allowed the USA to rise to its colossus status was
immigration
with the benefits of a demographic expansion supporting the credit
expansion and
the brain drain from the rest of the world benefiting the States. The
collapse
of the Western financial system will wipe out the standard of living of
its
population while ending ponzi schemes such as the stock exchange and the
pension
funds. The population will be hit so badly by a full array of bubbles
and ponzi
schemes that the migration engine will start to work in reverse
accelerating
itself due to ripple effects thus leading to the demise of the States.
This
unseen situation for the States will develop itself in a cascade pattern
with
unprecedented and devastating effects for the economy. Jobs offshoring
will
surely end with many American Corporations relocating overseas thus
becoming
foreign Corporations!!!! We see a significant part of the American
population
migrating to Latin America and Asia while migration to Europe -
suffering a
similar illness - won't be relevant. Nevertheless the death toll will be
horrible. Take into account that the Soviet Union's population was
poorer than
the Americans nowadays or even then. The ex-Soviets suffered during the
following struggle in
the 1990s with a significant death toll and the loss of national pride.
Might we
say "Twice the pride, double the fall"? Nope. The American standard of
living is
one of the highest, far more than double of the Soviets while having
added a services economy that will be gone along with the financial
system. When
pensioners see their retirement disappear in front of their eyes and
there are
no servicing jobs you can imagine what is going to happen next. At least
younger
people can migrate. Never in human history were so many elders among the
population. In past centuries people were lucky to get to their 30s or
40s. The American downfall is set to be far worse than the Soviet
Union's one. A confluence of crisis with a devastating result.
The Demographic crisis in the former Soviet Union countries has extended for
over two decades, if we accept that it ended early in this decade (2010s). The
demographic crisis will hit the World in the near future and is projected to
last between three and eight decades more or less depending on technological
breakthrough and environmental issues. The aftermath is more likely a frozen
picture with the population numbers staying the same for a very, very long
period of time. The countries forecast population numbers do reflect
birth/deaths but also migratory movements. Many countries are going to increase
their gross population due to immigration while their native population may
shrink.
Over the past two thousand years we have witnessed the Western civilization
built around the Mediterranean Sea shifting to Northern Europe and then by the
mid 20th century shifting to an Atlantic axis to finally get centered into the
States in the past 30 years. The next move will see the civilization being
centered in Asia with Russia and China on top. Historically a change in the
economic paradigm has resulted in a death toll that is rarely highlighted by
mainstream historians. When the transition from rural areas to large cities
happened in Europe many people unable to accept the new paradigm killed
themselves. They killed themselves by a psychological factor. This is not
mainstream but it is true. A new crisis joins old, well known patterns with new
ones.
Sorry to disappoint many of you with our forecast. It is getting worse and worse
every year since the beginning of the pre-crisis in 2007. It is already said
that this website is non-profit, built on spare time and we provide our
information and services AS IS without further explanations and/or guarantees.
We are not linked to any government in any way, shape or form. We are not a
death or satanic cult or arms dealers as some BS is floating around the internet
on this topic. Take into account that the forecast is nothing more than a model
whether flawed or correct. It is not God's word or a magic device that allows to
foresee the future.
Sunday, October 26th, 2014