theduran | The result was an agreement between Putin and Trump to reopen
channels of communication between their governments and to meet
regularly with each other as they feel their way towards a
rapprochement.
To be clear, that rapprochement will not mean and is not intended to
mean that the US and Russia will cease to be adversaries and will become
friends.
Instead what is being discussed are steps to bring to a stop the
downward spiral in their relations, with each side obtaining a better
understanding of the other side’s moves and red lines, so that hopefully
geopolitical disasters like the 2014 Maidan coup can be avoided in
future.
That would be a major advance over what has existed previously given
that since the USSR collapsed in 1991 the US has refused to acknowledge
that Russia has any right to any opinions at all, let alone to act
independently or set out red lines.
Needless to say the more often Putin and Trump meet the more
‘normalised’ relations between the US and Russia become, with each
meeting provoking less controversy than the previous one, with the whole
process beyond a certain point becoming routine so that it attracts
ever less attention and (hopefully) eventually becomes uncontroversial.
It is because the powerful forces in the US who scorn the idea of a
‘geopolitical ceasefire’ and want ever greater confrontation between the
US and Russia do not want to see relations ‘normalised’ in this way
that their reaction to the summit has been so hysterical.
As of the time of writing it is these people who in the media and on
twitter are making the running. However it may be a mistake to see in
the volume of the noise they are making a true reflection of their
influence.
Last February’s Nuclear Posture Review
suggests that there is a very powerful constituency within the US and
specifically within the Pentagon which might potentially support the
sort of ‘geopolitical ceasefire’ with Russia that Donald Trump appears
to be gradually working towards.
The Nuclear Posture Review shows that some sections of the US
military understand how dangerously overstretched the US has become as
it responds simultaneously to challenges from Russia in Europe and from
China in the Pacific. Both Putin and Trump mentioned during their news
conference the extent to which their respective militaries are already
in contact with each other and are working well together
Donald Trump: Well, our militaries do get along. In fact, our militaries actually have gotten along probably better than our political leaders for years, but our militaries do get along very well and they do coordinate in Syria and other places. Ok? Thank you.
Vladimir Putin:……..On the whole, I really agree with the President. Our military cooperation is going quite well. I hope that they will continue to be able to come to agreements just as they have been…..
That may be a sign that there is more understanding of what Donald
Trump is trying to do – at least within the US defence establishment –
than the hysteria the Helsinki summit has provoked might suggest.
Overall, provided it is clearly understood that what Putin and Trump
are working towards is a detente style ‘geopolitical ceasefire’ and not
‘friendship’ – and certainly not an alliance – it can be said that
their summit in Helsinki was a good start and a success.
What happens next depends on whether the forces of realism and sanity
in the US can prevail over those of megalomania and hysteria. Given
how entrenched the latter have become unfortunately no one can count on
this.
However some sort of process which may in time lead to detente and an
easing of tensions between the nuclear superpowers has begun. Given
the circumstances in which it has been launched that is more than might
have been expected even a short time ago, and for that one should be
grateful.
