unz |But there is more bad news for the AngloZionist Empire: in a recent interview by General Iurii Borisov,
Deputy Prime Minister for Defense and Space Industry named six weapons
systems which, in his opinion, have no counterpart in western arsenals.
These include two almost never (or very rarely) mentioned before:
The “Sarmat” heavy MIRVed ICBM
The Sukhoi Su-57 aka “PAKFA”, the 5th generation jet fighter being developed for air superiority and attack operations
The revolutionary T-14 “Armata” main battle tank
The long-range S-500 air defense system
The mobile anti-satellite system “Nudol“
The ground-based mobile jamming system for satellite communications “Triada-2S“
While
the first four systems listed have been known for a while, very little
is known about the Nudol ASAT or the Triada-2S jamming systems. A couple
of years ago, in 2015, The Washington Free Beacon wrote one article
about the Nudol system entitled “Russia Flight Tests Anti-Satellite Missile Moscow joins China in space warfare buildup”
but I did not find anything at all in English about the Triada-2S.
There are a few articles published about these two systems in Russian
however, and I will summarize them here beginning with the Nudol system.
The
Russian plan to counter the US military threat is becoming clearer and
clearer with each passing day. I would summarize as follows:
US Capability
Russian Response
ABM system
maneuverable hypersonic ballistic and very long-range cruise missiles
US aircraft carriers and surface fleet
maneuverable hypersonic ballistic and very long-range cruise missiles
US airpower and cruise missiles
advanced and integrated air defenses + 5th generation multirole fighters
US attack submarines
advanced diesel-electric/AIP submarines in littoral and coastal waters
US command, control, communications, networks, and satellites
electronic warfare and anti-satellite systems
US/NATO deployments near Russia
Tank Armies with T-14s, doubling of the size of the Airborne Forces, Iskander missiles (see here)
US nuclear forces
Deployment of a next-generation SSBNs, road-mobile and rail-mobile ICBMs, PAK-DA (next generation bomber) and ABM systems
By
targeting US space-based capabilities Russia is aiming at an exceedingly
important and currently extremely fragile segment of the US armed
forces and the impact of that cannot be overstated. It is already well
known that the US military has almost no practice operating in a highly
contested electronic warfare environment and that, in fact, US EW
capabilities have stagnated over the years. In the age of advanced
communication and network-centric warfare, the disruption or elimination
of any meaningful segment of the US space-based capabilities would have
a dramatic impact on US warfighting capabilities. Just like US tactical
air is practically completely dependent on AWACs support, all the
branches of the US military have grown accustomed to enjoying advanced
command, control, communications, computers, intelligence, surveillance,
and reconnaissance capabilities (C4ISR) and this is what the Russians
want to deny them (and you can bet that the Chinese are working along
the exact same lines).
This is not to say that Russia has achieved anywhere near full-spectrum dominance
over the United States but it does mean that the United States has
totally failed in its efforts to achieve anything near full-spectrum
dominance over Russia and, therefore, over the rest of the planet. It is
important to understand that while, for the US, it is crucial to
achieving superiority, for Russia it is enough to deny that superiority
to the US. Russia, therefore, has no need to achieve anything even
remotely resembling full-spectrum dominance over the US/NATO – all she
needs to achieve is to make it impossible for the Empire to make her
submit by force or threat of force.
straightlinelogic | Vladimir Putin is a black belt in judo, the only Russian and one of
the few people in the world to be awarded the rank of eighth dan. He
also practices karate.
A fundamental principle of martial arts is using an opponent’s size
and momentum against him. This is Putin’s strategic approach. Westerners
demonize Putin, but few try to understand him. Trying to understand
someone else is regarded as a pointless in narcissistic America,
selfie-land. Perhaps 90 percent of the populace is incapable of grasping
anything more subtle than a political cartoon.
That’s a pity, because Putin has accomplished a geopolitical triumph
worthy of study. He’s catalyzing the downfall of the American empire,
and it has nothing to do with subverting elections or suborning Trump.
Putin became acting prime minister in 1999, then president in 2000.
The Soviet Union’s 1991 collapse devastated Russia. The economy shrunk
and life expectancies fell. A group of rapacious oligarchs, many with
Western backing, acquired Soviet industrial and commercial assets at
fire sale prices.
Putin coopted the most important oligarchs, letting them hold on to
their loot and power in exchange for their allegiance. This bargain has
been a bulwark of both his continuing political support and his
reportedly immense personal fortune. He quelled a long-running
insurrection in Chechnya and stabilized the situation there, exchanging a
measure of autonomy for a declaration in the Chechen constitution that
it was part of Russia. During his first two terms, from 2000-2008, the
economy began recovering from the 1990s. Projecting a law and order
image while stifling critics, he solidified what has become his
unwavering support, winning 72 percent of the vote in the 2004
presidential election.
A coterie of highly placed idiots in the US and Europe insist that
Putin’s ultimate goal is to reconstitute the former Soviet Union on his
way to global domination. Russia’s GDP, after 18 years of recovery, is
$1.4 trillion, compared to almost $20 trillion for the US and over $17
trillion for the European Union. Russia’s military budget is $61
billion, versus $250 billion for NATO nations (excluding the US) and
over $700 billion for the US. The scaremongering screeds never say where
Russia will get the money to invade and conquer former Soviet
provinces, much less conquer the world. Putin, unlike America’s high and
mighty, realizes from Soviet experience that empires drain rather than
augment an empire’s resources.
Conquering the world is one thing, throwing the American empire to
the mat another. Putin must have smiled when George W. Bush invaded
Afghanistan in pursuit of Osama bin Laden, purported mastermind of the
9/11 attacks. The US’s hubristic rage led it into what has been a
quagmire at best, a graveyard at worst, for a string of invaders,
including the Soviet Union.
NYTimes | It
wasn’t long ago that the term “middle class” suggested security,
conformity and often complacency — a cohort that was such a reliable
feature of postwar American life that it attracted not just political
pandering but also cultural ridicule. The stereotype included everyone
from men in gray flannel suits to the slick professionals of
“Thirtysomething,” stuck or smug in their world of bourgeois comforts.
“Squeezed:
Why Our Families Can’t Afford America,” a timely new book by the
journalist and poet Alissa Quart, arrives at a moment when members of
the middle class are no longer a robust demographic but an embattled and
shrinking population, struggling to hold on to their delicate perch
in an unforgiving economic order. These aren’t the truly poor but those
in the “just-making-it group,” or what Quart also calls “the Middle
Precariat.” The people she talks to believed their educations and
backgrounds (most of them grew up in middle-class homes) would guarantee
some financial stability; instead, their work is “inconstant or
contingent,” and their incomes are stagnant or worse.
“They
are people on the brink who did everything ‘right,’” Quart writes, “and
yet the math of their family lives is simply not adding up.”
Quart
describes her own experience of slipping into the “falling middle-class
vortex” after the birth of her daughter seven years ago, a time when
she and her husband were freelance writers facing new child care costs
and hospital bills. She eventually became the executive editor of the Economic Hardship Reporting Project,
a nonprofit organization founded by the journalist Barbara Ehrenreich,
but her family had a “few years of fiscal vertigo.” Quart includes
herself in the group she’s writing about; her book succeeds and suffers
accordingly.
As
she puts it in her introduction, the concerns of her subjects “were not
abstract to me.” Quart is a sympathetic listener, getting people to
reveal not just the tenuousness of their economic situations but also
the turbulence of their emotional lives. A chapter on middle-age
job-seekers who once worked as computer programmers or newspaper
reporters captures the fallout of a discriminatory job market, which
tells older unemployed people they should buck up and start over while
also making them feel superfluous.
“I’ve
tried to reinvent myself so many times,” an
aeronautical-engineer-turned-website-designer-turned-personal-chef tells
her. “To be honest, it hasn’t worked.” The woman is now in her 50s,
with two grown daughters and plenty of debt from culinary school. “The
world has evolved beyond me,” she says.
Nobody
knew this better than the kings of the ancient world. That’s why they
gave themselves an absolute monopoly on minting moolah.
They
turned shiny metal into coins, paid their soldiers and their soldiers
bought things at local stores.
The king then sent their soldiers to the
merchants with a simple message:
“Pay your taxes in this coin or we’ll kill you.”
That’s
almost the entire history of money in one paragraph. Coercion and
control of the supply with violence, aka the “violence hack.” The one
hack to rule them all.
When
power passed from monarchs to nation-states, distributing power from
one strongman to a small group of strongmen, the power to print money
passed to the state. Anyone who tried to create their own money got
crushed.
The reason is simple:
Centralized
enemies are easy to destroy with a “decapitation attack.” Cut off the
head of the snake and that’s the end of anyone who would dare challenge
the power of the state and its divine right to create coins.
Kings and nation states know the real golden rule: Control the money and you control the world.
And so it’s gone for thousands and thousands of years. The very first emperor of China, Qin Shi Huang
(260–210 BC), abolished all other forms of local currency and
introduced a uniform copper coin. That’s been the blueprint ever since.
Eradicate alternative coins, create one coin to rule them all and use
brutality and blood to keep that power at all costs.
In the end, every system is vulnerable to violence.
theconservativetreehouse | Yesterday the news broke of Senate Intelligence Committee Vice-Chairman, Mark Warner, seeking covert contact with ‘Clinton-Steele Dossier’ originating entity Christopher Steele.
Within the March/April 2017 communication, the back-and-forth
centered around Chris Steele wanting a written request signed by both
the Vice-Chair (Warner) and the Senate Committee Chairman, Richard Burr.
Vice-Chairman Warner didn’t want a ‘paper trail’and
transparently didn’t want the political opposition (republican
members), to know of his political intent. Therefore Warner never asked
Chairman Burr for his signature upon the letter requested by Steele.
Ultimately Mr. Steele was correct in his suspicions, and prudent in his
risk avoidance.
All of that is true, however, very few have stopped to ask: how did
we, the viewing public, discover the Warner messaging and communication
story in the first place?
How did the story of the Warner text messaging
get into the media bloodstream? Who was the ‘entity’ who
investigated, discovered, and eventually released the Warner messaging?
zerohedge | The Trump dossier was reckless and irresponsible in the extreme, but
only consequential after Election Day. It didn’t prevent Mr. Trump from
becoming president.
In the new spirit of non-non-disclosure, it’s time for
Mr. Comey to tell us about the Russian intelligence scam that may really
have changed the election outcome.
In closed hearings, he reportedly acknowledged
that his intervention in the Hillary Clinton email case was prompted by
what is now understood to have been planted, fake Russian intelligence.
The fake Russian intelligence purported to discuss a nonexistent email
between then-DNC chief Debbie Wasserman Schultz and George
Soros-employed activist Leonard Benardo.
This led directly to Mr. Comey’s second intervention, reopening the
case 11 days before Election Day, a shocking development that appears now to have moved enough votes into Mr. Trump’s column to account for his win.
At the time, the press was all too happy to blame
Bill Clinton for his wife’s loss when Mr. Comey, for nonclassified
consumption, cited Mr. Clinton’s tarmac meeting with Attorney General
Loretta Lynch as the reason for his intervention.
The press is silent now.
The new story satisfies nobody’s agenda, and only makes the FBI look foolish. Mr.
Trump is not eager to hear his victory portrayed as an FBI-precipitated
accident. Democrats cling to their increasingly washed-out theory of
Trump-Russia collusion.
And yet, if Mr. Comey’s antic intervention in response to
Russian disinformation inadvertently led to Mr. Trump becoming
president, this was the most consequential outcome by far.
theintercept |Responding to U.S. government suggestions that its antivirus
software has been used for surveillance of customers, Moscow-based
Kaspersky Lab is launching what it’s calling a transparency initiative
to allow independent third parties to review its source code and
business practices and to assure the information security community that
it can be trusted.
The company plans to begin the code review before the end of the year
and establish a process for conducting ongoing reviews, of both the
updates it makes to software and the threat-detection rules it uses to
detect malware and upload suspicious files from customer machines. The
latter refers to signatures — search terms used to detect potential
malware — which are the focus of recent allegations.
The company will open three “transparency centers” in the U.S.,
Europe, and Asia, where trusted partners will be able to access the
third-party reviews of its code and rules. It will also engage an
independent assessment of its development processes and work with an
independent party to develop security controls for how it processes data
uploaded from customer machines.
“[W]e want to show how we’re completely open and transparent. We’ve
nothing to hide,” Eugene Kaspersky, the company’s chair and CEO, said in
a written statement.
The moves follow a company offer in July to allow the U.S. government to review its source code.
Although critics say the transparency project is a good idea, some
added it is insufficient to instill trust in Kaspersky going forward.
“The thing [they’re] talking about is something that the entire
antivirus industry should adopt and should have adopted in the
beginning,” said Dave Aitel, a former NSA analyst and founder of
security firm Immunity. But in the case of Kaspersky, “the reality is … you can’t trust them, so why would you trust the process they set up?”
Kaspersky has come under intense scrutiny after its antivirus
software was linked to the breach of an NSA employee’s home computer in
2015 by Russian government hackers who stole classified documents or
tools from the worker’s machine. News reports, quoting U.S. government
sources, have suggested Kaspersky colluded with the hackers to steal the
documents from the NSA worker’s machine, or at least turned a blind eye
to the activity.
“Developing
the biological and cultural mechanisms that suppressed disruptive
within-group competition and fostered empathy and trust, our ancestors
became the sole primate.”
Ridley,
and other evolutionary biologists, theorize that humans are designed to
pass on their genes. However, preserving oneself is not the only way to
replicate one’s genes. Per the Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy,
“By behaving altruistically, an organism reduces the number of
offspring it is likely to produce itself, but boosts the number that
other organisms are likely to produce.”
David and Edward Wilson described the adaptive strategy behind this paradox more succinctly:
“Selfishness beats altruism within groups. Altruistic groups beat selfish groups”
While
altruism may be a cost to the individual, it comes with the benefit of
increasing the likelihood that others with the group will survive. In
other words, while altruism may not help us as individuals, it may help
our kinsmen. Or, as Ridley says, “Selfish genes sometimes uses selfless
individuals to achieve their ends.”
The power of reciprocity
Our
ancestors cooperated on important functions such as hunting, gathering,
protecting the tribe, and raiding others for their resources. This
cooperation is helpful to the group and to the individuals within that
group, writes Christopher Bergland of Psychology Today:
“Social
behaviors — including altruism — are often genetically programmed into a
species to help them survive…Even if you are feeling ‘selfish’,
behaving selflessly may be the wisest ‘self-serving’ thing to do.”
Bergland
explains the benefit to this strategy: “Acting selflessly in the moment
provides a selective advantage to the altruist in the form of some kind
of return benefit.” A paper published in the Annual Review of Psychology
describes these reciprocal benefits more specifically: “Signaling that
one is generous can lead to benefits for the person signaling, such as
being chosen as an exchange partner, friend, or mate.”
If
you help a friend pay of their credit card debt, they may be more
likely to help you pay off your debt in the future. If you help a friend
move into a new apartment, they’ll be more likely to help you when you
move. When you are known as a person who helps others, people want to be
your friend. By giving, we receive.
NationalGeographic | Great news! [Princeton University professor] Joe Taylor talked to
Angel Vazquez, who made contact with the observatory via ham radio.
Everybody there is safe and sound,” reported Arecibo deputy director Joan Schmelz.
However, it’s not yet clear how staff who weathered the storm in town
are doing, or what conditions are like for local communities. Reports
suggest that the road up to the facility is covered in debris and is
largely inaccessible.
Still, according to the National Science Foundation,
which funds the majority of the telescope’s operations, the observatory
is well stocked with food, well water, and fuel for generators. As of
Thursday night, there are enough supplies for the staff hunkered down
there to survive for at least a week, although Vazquez reports that it’s
not clear how long the generators will be working.
“As soon as the roads are physically passable, a team will try to get up to the observatory,” the NSF statement says.
Because of its deep water well and generator, the observatory has
been a place for those in nearby towns to gather, shower, and cook after
past hurricanes. It also has an on-site helicopter landing pad, so
making sure the facility is safe in general is not just of scientific
importance, but is also relevant for local relief efforts.
Built in 1963, the Arecibo Observatory has become a cultural icon,
known both for its size and for its science. For most of its 54-year
existence, Arecibo was the largest radio telescope in the world, but in
2016, a Chinese telescope called FAST—with a dish measuring 1,600 feet across—surpassed Arecibo in size, although it’s not yet fully operational.
The observatory was originally designed for national defense during
the Cold War, when the U.S. wanted to see if it could detect Soviet
satellites (and maybe missiles and bombs) based on how they alter the
portion of Earth’s atmosphere called the ionosphere. Later, the
telescope became instrumental in the search for extraterrestrial
intelligence (SETI) programs and in other aspects of radio astronomy.
WaPo | Mr. Gregory ran for mayor against Daley in 1967 and for U.S.
president in 1968 as a write-in candidate with the left-wing Freedom and
Peace Party, campaigning against what he saw as rampant political
corruption in the two major parties.
Mr. Gregory said he was
appalled that the Democratic Party would host its national convention
that year in Chicago, a city where black demonstrators were regularly
brutalized by the police. The convention drew a large contingent of
white anti-Vietnam protesters, and the outbreak of violence that ensued
prompted Mr. Gregory to take mordant glee in the melee.
“I
was at home watching it on TV, and I fell on the floor and laughed,” he
told GQ magazine in 2008. “My wife said, ‘What’s funny?’ And I said,
‘The whole world is gonna change. White folks are gonna see white folks
beating white folks.’ ”
Increasingly inclined to believe conspiracy theories, he was once
arrested for attempting to wrap yellow “crime scene” tape across the
front gates of the CIA, for what he alleged was the spy agency’s
involvement in distributing crack cocaine in inner cities.
Like
Muhammad Ali, “who always thought of himself as more than a boxer, Greg
always considered himself more than a comic,” New York Times sports
columnist and Gregory biographer Robert Lipsyte told the London
Independent in 2004. “Both men suffered enormously for their political
convictions. But unlike Ali, Greg was conscious of his role from the
beginning. He knew that his presence at Southern demonstrations would
save lives, even if it killed his career.”
He caught a break in 1961 when Hugh Hefner requested that the
comedian perform one night at Chicago’s Playboy Club to substitute for
Irwin Corey, who had canceled at the last minute.
As Mr. Gregory
told it, when he arrived at the club that night, he was stopped by the
manager. The man feared an especially hostile audience — a convention of
white Southern frozen-foods executives.
Mr. Gregory strode onto the stage anyway and grabbed the microphone. A heckler quickly stood up and threw out a racial epithet.
The
comic was ready. He calmly explained that he had an arrangement with
the club that he received a $50 bonus each time someone used that word
and invited the audience to keep on saying it.
Another in the
crowd asked Mr. Gregory if he’d consider performing in Mobile, Ala. He
replied: “Mobile? I won’t even work the south of this room.”
He
won over the audience, and an ensuing profile in Time magazine led to
invitations to appear on Paar’s TV show and other career-building stops.
As he rose in the national consciousness, he also relished playing the
provocateur. He often said he titled his 1964 memoir “Nigger: An
Autobiography” — a book co-written with Lipsyte — so that every time the
slur was spoken, it would serve as advertising for the book. It quickly
became a bestseller.
Counterpunch | It somehow makes US Americans feel good that the “commies” finally
came around and saw the light. It’s a psychological and emotional salve
that reassures the gullible, the uninformed, and the nationalists that
the sacrifices on their side were not in vain. The problem is it’s dead
wrong.
3.8 million of Viet Thanh Nguyen’s fellow Vietnamese and over 58,000 US Americans did not die
in a war of economic systems or ideologies. The world is not binary
and the cause for which they gave their all was not about a free market
vs. a centrally planned economy. It was about Vietnamese governing Viet
Nam without continued foreign interference, occupation, and war. Viet
Nam won the war because it expelled yet another foreign invader.
Despite what embittered Vietnamese-Americans and diehard veterans who desperately want to believe, and want you to believe, that the loss of limbs, life and sanity were not in vain, it’s really that simple.
The “hardline communists” of whom you spoke, Mr. Viet, were also
pragmatists – out of necessity. They made the fateful decision to bend
rather than break with the Đổi Mới (renovation) reforms of 1986, which
began to bear fruit in the mid-1990s during my first visit to the
country of your birth. Viet Nam has one of the fastest growing
economies in the world and is considered to be one of the great success
stories of the developing world. It also ranks 5th among countries sending their young people to study in the US.
In spite of extremes of wealth and poverty that are characteristic of
any rapidly developing economy, Viet Nam’s government has been praised
for converting wealth
into national well-being, i.e., helping to create a rising tide that
raises all boats, certainly not a claim the US can make, where extreme
wealth concentration and a resulting oligarchy are the order of the
day. (20 US Americans own as much as wealth as 50% of the population.)
The Communist Party is not a monolith, as you know. In fact, there’s
probably more diversity of opinion within this one party than in the US
in which “there is only one party… the Property Party … and it has two
right wings: Republican and Democrat”, as another US writer and public
intellectual, Gore Vidal, once described the US political system. I
know this because Viet Nam is not a country I visit from time to time; I
have lived here for over a decade.
Nước mắm pha (mixed fish sauce) is the most well known dipping sauce made from fish sauce. Its simplest recipe is some lime juice, or occasionally vinegar, one part fish sauce (nước mắm), one part sugar and two parts water. Vegetarians create nước chấm chay (vegetarian dipping sauce) or nước tương (soy water) by substituting Maggi seasoning sauce for fish sauce (nước mắm).[citation needed]
To this, people will usually add minced uncooked garlic, chopped or minced Bird's eye chilis, and in some instances, shredded pickled carrot/white radish and green papaya for bún. Otherwise, when having seafood, such as eels, people also serve some slices of lemongrass.
It is often prepared hot on a stove to dissolve the sugar more
quickly, then cooled. The flavor can be varied depending on the
individual's preference, but it is generally described as pungent and
distinct, sweet yet sour, and sometimes spicy.
ted | The most important question in 21st-century economics may well be:
What should we do with all the superfluous people, once we have highly
intelligent non-conscious algorithms that can do almost everything
better than humans?
This is not an entirely new question. People have long feared that
mechanization might cause mass unemployment. This never happened,
because as old professions became obsolete, new professions evolved, and
there was always something humans could do better than machines. Yet
this is not a law of nature, and nothing guarantees it will continue to
be like that in the future. The idea that humans will always have a
unique ability beyond the reach of non-conscious algorithms is just
wishful thinking. The current scientific answer to this pipe dream can
be summarized in three simple principles:
1. Organisms are algorithms. Every animal — including Homo sapiens —
is an assemblage of organic algorithms shaped by natural selection over
millions of years of evolution.
2. Algorithmic calculations are not affected by the materials from
which the calculator is built. Whether an abacus is made of wood, iron
or plastic, two beads plus two beads equals four beads.
3. Hence, there is no reason to think that organic algorithms can do
things that non-organic algorithms will never be able to replicate or
surpass. As long as the calculations remain valid, what does it matter
whether the algorithms are manifested in carbon or silicon?
newyorker | At least since the
Moynihan Report, in 1965, Americans have tended to answer the question
“Why are people poor?” by choosing one of two responses: they can either
point to economic forces (globalization, immigration) or blame cultural
factors (decaying families, lack of “grit”). These seem like two
social-science theories about poverty—two hypotheses, which might be
tested empirically—but, in practice, they are more like political fairy
tales. As Kelefa Sanneh wrote earlier this year, the choice between
these two explanations has long been racialized.
Working-class whites are said to be poor because of outsourcing;
inner-city blacks are imagined to be holding themselves back with
hip-hop. The implicit theory is that culture comes from within, and so
can be controlled by individuals and communities, whereas economic
structures exert pressures from without, and so are beyond the control
of those they affect.
This theory
is useful to politicians, because political ideologies function by
identifying some people as powerless and others as powerful. The truth,
though, is that the “culture vs. economics” dyad is largely a fantasy.
We are neither prisoners of our economic circumstances nor lords of our
cultures, able to reshape them at will. It would be more accurate to say
that cultural and economic forces act, with entwined and equal power,
on and through all of us—and that we all have an ability, limited but
real, to harness or resist them. When we pursue education, we improve
ourselves both “economically” and “culturally” (and in other ways);
conversely, there’s nothing distinctly and intrinsically “economic” or
“cultural” about the problems that afflict poor communities, such as
widespread drug addiction or divorce. (If you lose your job, get
divorced, and become an addict, is your addiction “economic” or
“cultural” in nature?) When we debate whether such problems have a
fundamentally “economic” or “cultural” cause, we aren’t saying anything
meaningful about the problems. We’re just arguing—incoherently—about
whether or not people who suffer from them deserve to be blamed for
them. (We know, meanwhile, that the solutions—many, partial, and
overlapping—aren’t going to be exclusively “economic” or “cultural” in
nature, either.)
It’s odd, when
you think about it, that a question a son might ask about his
mother—“Where does blame stop and sympathy begin?”—is at the center of
our collective political life. And yet, as American inequality has
grown, that question has come to be increasingly important. When Rod
Dreher asked Vance to explain the appeal of Trump to poor whites, Vance
cited the fact that Trump “criticizes the factories shipping jobs
overseas” while energetically defending white, working-class culture
against “the condescenders” who hold it in contempt. Another way of
putting this is that, for the past eight years, the mere existence of
Barack Obama—a thriving African-American family man and a successful
product of the urban meritocracy—has implied that the problems of poor
white Americans are “cultural”; Trump has shifted their afflictions into
the “economic” column. For his supporters, that is enough.
Vance
is frustrated not just by this latest turn of the wheel but by the fact
that the wheel keeps turning. It’s true that, by criticizing “hillbilly
culture,” “Hillbilly Elegy” reverses the racial polarity in our debate
about poverty; it’s also true that, by arguing that the problems of the
white working class are partly “cultural,” the book strikes a blow
against Trumpism. And yet it would be wrong to see Vance’s book as yet
another entry in our endless argument about whether this or that group’s
poverty is caused by “economic” or “cultural” factors. “Hillbilly
Elegy” sees the “economics vs. culture” divide as a dead metaphor—a form
of manipulation rather than explanation more likely to conceal the
truth than to reveal it. The book is an understated howl of protest
against the racialized blame game that has, for decades, powered
American politics and confounded our attempts to talk about poverty.
Often,
after a way of talking has obviously outlived its usefulness, a period
of inarticulateness ensues; it’s not yet clear how we should talk going
forward. “Hillbilly Elegy” doesn’t provide us with a new way of talking
about poverty in post-globalization America. It does, however, suggest
that it’s our collective job to figure one out. As individuals, we must
stop thinking about American poverty in an imaginary way; we
must abandon the terms of the argument we’ve been having—terms designed
to harness our feelings of blame and resentment for political ends, and
to make us feel either falsely blameless
or absurdly self-determining. “I don’t know what the answer is,
precisely, but I know it starts when we stop blaming Obama or Bush or
faceless companies and ask ourselves what we can do to make things
better,” Vance writes. “We hillbillies need to wake the hell up.” As do
the rest of us.
japantimes | The populist political tendencies among major powers is impeding the
appropriate control of market activities, resulting in the creation of
excess liquidity. That is making the world economy more speculative and
uncertain, while turning the economic policies of the major powers more
inward-looking.
Under these circumstances, globalism stands at a crossroads.
Globalism is an international regime that was attained with the fall of
the Berlin Wall as a turning point, beyond the waves of nationalism that
dominated the world from the 19th to the 20th century and the East-West
ideological divide in the second half of the last century.
It was widely hoped that the world would maintain peace through
cooperation among the major powers while respecting democracy, the rule
of law and human rights, promoting economic growth through market
mechanism, free trade and liberalized corporate activities, and
enhancing human welfare through protection of the environment,
improvement in living conditions, propagation of medical care,
elimination of poverty and spread of education. Globalism is the ideal
of the world.
The survival of Japan, which relies on other countries for resources,
food and markets, and depends on collective security for its defense,
cannot be ensured without globalism. It’s now time for Japan to make
efforts to fortify the foundation of globalism by explaining to the
world its significance and presenting a concrete vision.
churchandstate | Many of us who have been paying attention to the state
of the world over the last half century have now begun to realize with
growing horror that the progressive deterioration we have been tracking
shows no signs of resolution. In fact, to some of us it looks as though
there is no way to resolve this deepening crisis. The end of the track
is in sight. The planetary factory is in flames, and all the exit doors
are barred.
Proposed technical solutions are utterly inadequate to
the scale of the problem. Many ideas like geoengineering will simply
make matters worse. There is no political constituency for degrowth –
none at all. There is precious little political support for even putting
a light foot on the brake. This road to Hell has been paved with the
very best of intentions – giving our children a better life stands near
the top of the list – but here we are nonetheless. The climate is
signalling that our future may be a little warmer than we were
expecting, once our seven-billion-passenger train passes those gates.
Now
that the denouement is in sight, I’m setting aside the anger and
outrage, the blame and shame, to focus my attention instead on why this
outcome seems to have been utterly inevitable and unstoppable.
Why
has this happened? I don’t buy the traditional “broken morality” or
“flawed genetics” arguments. After all, our genetics seemed to be
perfectly appropriate for a million years, and the elements of morality
that some of us see as sub-optimal (the greed and shortsightedness) have
been with us to varying degrees since before the days of
Australopithecus. I don’t think it’s just a mistake on our part or a bug
in the program – it appears to be a part of the program of life itself.
It looks to me as though much deeper forces have been at work
throughout human history, and have shaped this outcome.
The main
difficulty I have with all the technical, political, economic and social
reform proposals I’ve seen is that they run counter to some very
deep-seated aspects of human behavior and decision-making. Mainly, they
assume that human intelligence and analytical ability control our
behavior, and from what I’ve seen, that’s simply not true. In fact it’s
untrue to such an extent that I don’t even think it’s a “human” issue
per se.
I have come to think that most of our collective choices
and actions are shaped by physical forces so deep that they can’t even
be called “genetic”. I haven’t written anything definitive about this
yet, but the conclusion I have come to in the last six months is that a
physical principle called the “Maximum Entropy Production Principle”,
which is closely related to the Second Law of Thermodynamics, actually
underlies the structure of life itself. Its operation has shaped the
energy-seeking, replicative behavior of everything from bacteria to
humans. All our intelligence does is makes its operation more effective.
economist | A PICTURE is said to be worth a thousand words. That metaphor might be expected to pertain a fortiori
in the case of scientific papers, where a figure can brilliantly
illuminate an idea that might otherwise be baffling. Papers with figures
in them should thus be easier to grasp than those without. They should
therefore reach larger audiences and, in turn, be more influential
simply by virtue of being more widely read. But are they? Bill Howe and
his colleagues at the University of Washington, in Seattle, decided to
find out.
First, they trained a computer algorithm to distinguish between
various sorts of figures—which they defined as diagrams, equations,
photographs, plots (such as bar charts and scatter graphs) and tables.
They exposed their algorithm to between 400 and 600 images of each of
these types of figure until it could distinguish them with an accuracy
greater than 90%. Then they set it loose on the more-than-650,000 papers
(containing more than 10m figures) stored on PubMed Central, an online
archive of biomedical-research articles.
To measure each paper’s influence, they calculated its article-level
Eigenfactor score—a modified version of the PageRank algorithm Google
uses to provide the most relevant results for internet searches.
Eigenfactor scoring gives a better measure than simply noting the number
of times a paper is cited elsewhere, because it weights citations by
their influence. A citation in a paper that is itself highly cited is
worth more than one in a paper that is not.
As the team describe in a paper posted on arXivhttp://viziometrics.org/search/,
they found that figures did indeed matter—but not all in the same way.
An average paper in PubMed Central has about one diagram for every three
pages and gets 1.67 citations. Papers with more diagrams per page and,
to a lesser extent, plots per page tended to be more influential (on
average, a paper accrued two more citations for every extra diagram per
page, and one more for every extra plot per page). By contrast,
including photographs and equations seemed to decrease the chances of a
paper being cited by others. That agrees with a study from 2012, whose
authors counted (by hand) the number of mathematical expressions in over
600 biology papers and found that each additional equation per page
reduced the number of citations a paper received by 22%. viziometrics.org
newyorker | If this place has
done its job—and I suspect it has—you’re all scientists now. Sorry,
English and history graduates, even you are, too. Science is not a major
or a career. It is a commitment to a systematic way of thinking, an
allegiance to a way of building knowledge and explaining the universe
through testing and factual observation. The thing is, that isn’t a
normal way of thinking. It is unnatural and counterintuitive. It has to
be learned. Scientific explanation stands in contrast to the wisdom of
divinity and experience and common sense. Common sense once told us that
the sun moves across the sky and that being out in the cold produced
colds. But a scientific mind recognized that these intuitions were only
hypotheses. They had to be tested.
When
I came to college from my Ohio home town, the most intellectually
unnerving thing I discovered was how wrong many of my assumptions were
about how the world works—whether the natural or the human-made world. I
looked to my professors and fellow-students to supply my replacement
ideas. Then I returned home with some of those ideas and told my parents
everything they’d got wrong (which they just loved). But, even then, I
was just replacing one set of received beliefs for another. It took me a
long time to recognize the particular mind-set that scientists have.
The great physicist Edwin Hubble, speaking at Caltech’s commencement in
1938, said a scientist has “a healthy skepticism, suspended judgement,
and disciplined imagination”—not only about other people’s ideas but
also about his or her own. The scientist has an experimental mind, not a
litigious one.
As a student, this
seemed to me more than a way of thinking. It was a way of being—a weird
way of being. You are supposed to have skepticism and imagination, but
not too much. You are supposed to suspend judgment, yet exercise it.
Ultimately, you hope to observe the world with an open mind, gathering
facts and testing your predictions and expectations against them. Then
you make up your mind and either affirm or reject the ideas at hand. But
you also hope to accept that nothing is ever completely settled, that
all knowledge is just probable knowledge. A contradictory piece of
evidence can always emerge. Hubble said it best when he said, “The
scientist explains the world by successive approximations.”
The
scientific orientation has proved immensely powerful. It has allowed us
to nearly double our lifespan during the past century, to increase our
global abundance, and to deepen our understanding of the nature of the
universe. Yet scientific knowledge is not necessarily trusted. Partly,
that’s because it is incomplete. But even where the knowledge provided
by science is overwhelming, people often resist it—sometimes outright
deny it. Many people continue to believe, for instance, despite massive
evidence to the contrary, that childhood vaccines cause autism (they do
not); that people are safer owning a gun (they are not); that
genetically modified crops are harmful (on balance, they have been
beneficial); that climate change is not happening (it is).
A Foundation of Joy
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Two years and I've lost count of how many times my eye has been operated
on, either beating the fuck out of the tumor, or reattaching that slippery
eel ...
April Three
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4/3
43
When 1 = A and 26 = Z
March = 43
What day?
4 to the power of 3 is 64
64th day is March 5
My birthday
March also has 5 letters.
4 x 3 = 12
...
Return of the Magi
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Lately, the Holy Spirit is in the air. Emotional energy is swirling out of
the earth.I can feel it bubbling up, effervescing and evaporating around
us, s...
New Travels
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Haven’t published on the Blog in quite a while. I at least part have been
immersed in the area of writing books. My focus is on Science Fiction an
Historic...
Covid-19 Preys Upon The Elderly And The Obese
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sciencemag | This spring, after days of flulike symptoms and fever, a man
arrived at the emergency room at the University of Vermont Medical Center.
He ...